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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
08.03.2026 14:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

FC St. Pauli - Eintracht Frankfurt

Germany Football
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
0 : 0
Finished
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC St. Pauli - Eintracht Frankfurt March 8, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Eintracht Frankfurt.

Line favourite market consensus: Eintracht Frankfurt. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.67 / X 3.29 / 2 2.66
  • 1X2 market: FC St. Pauli 35.6% / X 28.8% / Eintracht Frankfurt 35.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%
1 35.5%
X 28.8%
2 35.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.3%
Over 2.5 47.9%
Under 2.5 52.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 08.03.2026 14:30 UTC
Match center

FC St. Pauli - Eintracht Frankfurt

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.67 market consensus · line only
X 3.30 market consensus · line only
1 2.67 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.47 market consensus · line only
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.48 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.49 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.19 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.59 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.44 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.00 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.84 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.03 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.75 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.75 36.4%
X 3.40 29.4%
2.70 37.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.62 38.2% 2.75 36.4% 2.77 36.1% 2.50 40.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.67 37.5%
X 3.25 30.8% 3.20 31.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.20 31.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.30 30.3%
2.62 38.2% 2.66 37.6% 2.78 36.0% 2.63 38.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.67 37.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.00 50.0% 2.07 48.3% 2.02 49.5% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 1.99 50.3% 2.13 47.0%
yes 1.75 57.1% 1.77 56.5% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.72 58.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.77 56.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.48 67.6% 1.51 66.2% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.40 71.4%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.37 73.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.32 75.8% 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.48 67.6% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4%
Match center
FC St. Pauli
W W L W L
28.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 1:0 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
22.02 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 2:1 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
14.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 0:4 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
07.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 2:1 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
31.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 1:2 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
9 Points
Eintracht Frankfurt
W L W D L
01.03 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 2:0 FrayburgFrayburg
21.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 2:3 BavariyaBavariya
14.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 3:0 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
06.02 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 1:1 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
31.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 1:3 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFC St. Pauli - Eintracht Frankfurt

FC St. Pauli
2 matches total
Eintracht Frankfurt
FC St. Pauli: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Eintracht Frankfurt: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Eintracht Frankfurt 0:2 (25.10 13:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 11.05 15:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (11.05 15:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 4
4 Goals conceded 2

Match history

25.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
0:2
Eintracht Frankfurt
11.05 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
2:2
Eintracht Frankfurt