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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
03.05.2025 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

FC St. Pauli - VfB Stuttgart

Germany Football
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
0 : 1
Finished
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart

FC St. Pauli take on VfB Stuttgart on May 3, 2025 in the Bundesliga, Germany.

Recent form (W-D-L): FC St. Pauli 1-4-0, VfB Stuttgart 2-1-2. The bookmaker line makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at about 36%. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC St. Pauli - VfB Stuttgart May 3, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like VfB Stuttgart.

Line favourite market consensus: VfB Stuttgart. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.70 / X 3.51 / 2 2.68
  • 1X2 market: FC St. Pauli 36.0% / X 27.7% / VfB Stuttgart 36.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 36.0%
X 27.7%
2 36.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.2%
Over 2.5 53.0%
Under 2.5 47.0%

Odds source: SStats Consensus line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 03.05.2025 13:30 UTC
Market 1 36.0% @ 2.70 / X 27.7% @ 3.51 / 2 36.3% @ 2.68
Match center

FC St. Pauli - VfB Stuttgart

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.68 market consensus · line only
X 3.51 market consensus · line only
1 2.70 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.51 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 1.52 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.06 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.70 37.0%
X 3.51 28.5%
2.68 37.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.51 66.2%
home_away 1.34 74.6%
home_draw 1.52 65.8%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.83 54.6%
Under 2.5 2.06 48.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.94 51.6%
1.92 52.1%
Match center
FC St. Pauli
D D W D D
27.04 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 0:0 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
20.04 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 1:1 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
12.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 2:1 Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
06.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 1:1 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
26.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 0:0 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
1 Wins
4 Draws
0 Losses
0.8 Scored
0.6 Conceded
7 Points
VfB Stuttgart
L D L W W
25.04 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 0:1 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
19.04 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 4:4 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
13.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 1:2 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
05.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 4:0 VfL BochumVfL Bochum
26.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 2:1 Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
2.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points