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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
07.02.2026 14:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

FC St. Pauli - VfB Stuttgart

Germany Football
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
2 : 1
Finished
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart

FC St. Pauli take on VfB Stuttgart on February 7, 2026 in the Bundesliga, Germany.

Recent form (W-D-L): FC St. Pauli 0-2-3, VfB Stuttgart 4-1-0. These sides have met 2 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Sportsbooks lean towards VfB Stuttgart, an implied 54% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC St. Pauli - VfB Stuttgart February 7, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like VfB Stuttgart.

Line favourite market consensus: VfB Stuttgart. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.66 / X 3.71 / 2 1.76
  • 1X2 market: FC St. Pauli 20.4% / X 25.6% / VfB Stuttgart 53.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8% 14 books · best price +3.7%
1 20.5%
X 25.5%
2 54.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 50.7%
Under 2.5 49.3%

Odds source: consensus of 14 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 07.02.2026 14:30 UTC
Market 1 20.4% @ 4.66 / X 25.6% @ 3.71 / 2 54.0% @ 1.76
Match center

FC St. Pauli - VfB Stuttgart

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.77 market consensus · line only
X 3.72 market consensus · line only
1 4.67 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.20 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 2.06 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.21 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.02 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.36 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.89 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.94 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.98 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.78 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
4.70 21.3%
X 3.85 26.0%
1.79 55.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
4.55 22.0% 4.85 20.6% 4.82 20.8% 4.40 22.7% 4.75 21.1% 4.80 20.8%
X 3.65 27.4% 3.70 27.0% 3.88 25.8% 3.50 28.6% 3.80 26.3% 3.85 26.0%
1.73 57.8% 1.76 56.8% 1.82 55.0% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.80 55.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.95 51.3% 2.02 49.5% 1.96 51.0% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.94 51.6% 2.03 49.3%
yes 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.77 56.5% 1.73 57.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.77 56.5% 1.85 54.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.18 84.8% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.22 82.0% 1.14 87.7%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 1.95 51.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0%
Match center
FC St. Pauli
L D D L L
31.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 1:2 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
27.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 1:1 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
23.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 0:0 Hamburger SVHamburger SV
17.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 2:3 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
14.01 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 1:2 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
2 Points
VfB Stuttgart
W W D W W
01.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 1:0 FrayburgFrayburg
25.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 3:0 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
18.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 1:1 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
13.01 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 3:2 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
10.01 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 4:1 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
13 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFC St. Pauli - VfB Stuttgart

FC St. Pauli
2 matches total
VfB Stuttgart
FC St. Pauli: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
VfB Stuttgart: 2 (100%)
Biggest win VfB Stuttgart 0:2 (19.09 18:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 19.09 18:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 0

Match history

19.09 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
0:2
VfB Stuttgart
03.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
0:1
VfB Stuttgart