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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
24.08.2025 13:30 UTC Match prediction
24.08.2025 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

FSV Mainz 05 - 1. FC Köln

Germany Football
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
0 : 1
Finished
1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FSV Mainz 05 - 1. FC Köln August 24, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FSV Mainz 05.

Line favourite market consensus: FSV Mainz 05. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.95 / X 3.64 / 2 3.78
  • 1X2 market: FSV Mainz 05 48.7% / X 26.1% / 1. FC Köln 25.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 48.7%
X 26.1%
2 25.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.1%
Over 2.5 52.5%
Under 2.5 47.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 24.08.2025 13:30 UTC
Match center

FSV Mainz 05 - 1. FC Köln

Form 5/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.79 market consensus · line only
X 3.65 market consensus · line only
1 1.96 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.87 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.27 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.91 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.46 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.72 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.70 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.02 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.08 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.71 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.99 50.3%
X 3.69 27.1%
3.92 25.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.90 52.6% 1.98 50.5% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.98 50.5%
X 3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0% 3.87 25.8% 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.75 26.7%
3.90 25.6% 3.80 26.3% 3.90 25.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.75 26.7% 3.90 25.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.10 47.6% 2.20 45.5% 2.08 48.1% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.07 48.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.06 48.5% 2.18 45.9%
yes 1.67 59.9% 1.68 59.5% 1.68 59.5% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.68 59.5% 1.72 58.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.90 52.6%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5% 1.28 78.1% 1.27 78.7% 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.29 77.5%
Match center
FSV Mainz 05
D W D L D
17.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 2:2 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
10.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 4:1 VfL BochumVfL Bochum
04.05 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 1:1 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
26.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 0:3 BavariyaBavariya
19.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 2:2 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFSV Mainz 05 - 1. FC Köln

FSV Mainz 05
0 matches total
1. FC Köln
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history