Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.

Bundesliga Germany

27.09.2025 13:30 UTC Match prediction

27.09.2025 13:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05 - Borussia Dortmund

Germany Football

FSV Mainz 05

0 : 2

Finished

Borussia Dortmund

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FSV Mainz 05 - Borussia Dortmund September 27, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Borussia Dortmund.

Line favourite market consensus: Borussia Dortmund. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.40 / X 3.75 / 2 2.04
1X2 market: FSV Mainz 05 28.1% / X 25.4% / Borussia Dortmund 46.6%
Total 2.5: over probability 60.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%

1 28.0%

X 25.4%

2 46.6%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%

Over 2.5 60.1%

Under 2.5 39.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center

Start 27.09.2025 13:30 UTC

Match center

FSV Mainz 05 - Borussia Dortmund

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.04 market consensus · line only

X 3.76 market consensus · line only

1 3.41 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.32 market consensus · line only

12 1.27 market consensus · line only

1X 1.79 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.34 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.11 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.04 market consensus · line only

2 +1 2.79 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.59 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.39 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.46 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.52 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	3.60 27.8%
X	3.92 25.5%
	2.02 49.5%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	3.25 30.8%	3.55 28.2%	3.58 27.9%	3.10 32.3%	3.50 28.6%	3.40 29.4%
X	3.70 27.0%	3.85 26.0%	3.91 25.6%	3.60 27.8%	3.90 25.6%	3.70 27.0%
	2.08 48.1%	1.99 50.3%	2.08 48.1%	2.10 47.6%	1.95 51.3%	2.07 48.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.45 40.8%	2.53 39.5%	2.45 40.8%	2.40 41.7%	2.38 42.0%	2.45 40.8%	2.50 40.0%	2.41 41.5%	2.62 38.2%
yes	1.48 67.6%	1.53 65.4%	1.50 66.7%	1.53 65.4%	1.53 65.4%	1.52 65.8%	1.50 66.7%	1.50 66.7%	1.53 65.4%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.33 75.2%	1.34 74.6%	1.36 73.5%	1.28 78.1%	1.34 74.6%	1.33 75.2%
home_away	1.22 82.0%	1.30 76.9%	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.27 78.7%	1.29 77.5%
home_draw	1.73 57.8%	1.84 54.4%	1.73 57.8%	1.80 55.6%	1.78 56.2%	1.83 54.6%

Match center

FSV Mainz 05

W L D L D

20.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05 4:1 FC Augsburg

13.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05 0:1 RB Leipzig

31.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05 1:1 VfL Wolfsburg

24.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05 0:1 1. FC Köln

17.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05 2:2 Bayer Leverkusen

1 Wins

2 Draws

2 Losses

1.4 Scored

1.2 Conceded

5 Points

Borussia Dortmund

W W W D W

21.09 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund 1:0 VfL Wolfsburg

13.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund 2:0 1. FC Heidenheim

31.08 15:30 UTC Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund 3:0 Union Berlin

23.08 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund 3:3 FC St. Pauli

17.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund 3:0 Holstein Kiel

4 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

2.4 Scored

0.6 Conceded

13 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyFSV Mainz 05 - Borussia Dortmund

FSV Mainz 05

0 matches total

Borussia Dortmund

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

FSV Mainz 05 - Borussia Dortmund

AI match prediction FSV Mainz 05 - Borussia Dortmund September 27, 2025

Fair probability (no margin)

Buy the full AI analysis

FSV Mainz 05 - Borussia Dortmund

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Market 1

Match Winner

Both teams to score

Double chance

Match history