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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
07.03.2026 14:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

FSV Mainz 05 - VfB Stuttgart

Germany Football
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
2 : 2
Finished
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart

FSV Mainz 05 go head-to-head with VfB Stuttgart on March 7, 2026 in the Bundesliga, Germany.

Recent form (W-D-L): FSV Mainz 05 2-2-1, VfB Stuttgart 3-1-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Sportsbooks lean towards VfB Stuttgart, an implied 49% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FSV Mainz 05 - VfB Stuttgart March 7, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like VfB Stuttgart.

Line favourite market consensus: VfB Stuttgart. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.63 / X 3.79 / 2 1.94
  • 1X2 market: FSV Mainz 05 26.2% / X 25.0% / VfB Stuttgart 48.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.8% 13 books · best price +2.1%
1 26.1%
X 25.1%
2 48.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.1%
Over 2.5 61.2%
Under 2.5 38.8%

Odds source: consensus of 13 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 07.03.2026 14:30 UTC
Market 1 26.1% @ 3.63 / X 25.0% @ 3.79 / 2 48.9% @ 1.94
Match center

FSV Mainz 05 - VfB Stuttgart

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.95 market consensus · line only
X 3.80 market consensus · line only
1 3.64 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.29 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 1.86 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.31 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.09 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.94 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.60 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.54 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.43 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.51 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.50 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.75 26.7%
X 3.86 25.9%
1.99 50.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.60 27.8% 3.55 28.2% 3.84 26.0% 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.75 26.7%
X 3.75 26.7% 4.00 25.0% 3.94 25.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.90 25.6% 3.75 26.7%
1.90 52.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.99 50.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.50 40.0% 2.61 38.3% 2.48 40.3% 2.45 40.8% 2.50 40.0% 2.47 40.5% 2.50 40.0% 2.44 41.0% 2.62 38.2%
yes 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.49 67.1% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.49 67.1% 1.53 65.4%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.28 78.1% 1.31 76.3% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.83 54.6%
Match center
FSV Mainz 05
D D L W W
28.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 1:1 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
20.02 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 1:1 Hamburger SVHamburger SV
13.02 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 0:4 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
07.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 2:0 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
31.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 2:1 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.4 Conceded
8 Points
VfB Stuttgart
W D W L W
01.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 4:0 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
22.02 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 3:3 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
14.02 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 3:1 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
07.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 1:2 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
01.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 1:0 FrayburgFrayburg
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFSV Mainz 05 - VfB Stuttgart

FSV Mainz 05
1 matches total
VfB Stuttgart
FSV Mainz 05: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
VfB Stuttgart: 1 (100%)
Biggest win VfB Stuttgart 1:2 (26.10 16:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 26.10 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

26.10 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Maynts
1:2
VfB Stuttgart