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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
19.04.2025 13:30 UTC Match prediction
19.04.2025 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

FSV Mainz 05 - VfL Wolfsburg

Germany Football
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
2 : 2
Finished
VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FSV Mainz 05 - VfL Wolfsburg April 19, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FSV Mainz 05.

Line favourite market consensus: FSV Mainz 05. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.08 / X 3.74 / 2 3.57
  • 1X2 market: FSV Mainz 05 46.8% / X 26.0% / VfL Wolfsburg 27.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 46.8%
X 26.0%
2 27.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.1%
Over 2.5 55.1%
Under 2.5 44.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 19.04.2025 13:30 UTC
Match center

FSV Mainz 05 - VfL Wolfsburg

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.57 market consensus · line only
X 3.74 market consensus · line only
1 2.08 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.82 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.33 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.16 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.08 48.1%
X 3.74 26.7%
3.57 28.0%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.82 55.0%
home_away 1.31 76.3%
home_draw 1.33 75.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.76 56.8%
Under 2.5 2.16 46.3%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.53 65.4%
2.64 37.9%
Match center
FSV Mainz 05
L D D L W
12.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 0:2 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
05.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 1:1 Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
25.10 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 1:1 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
19.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 0:2 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
05.10 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 3:0 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
5 Points
VfL Wolfsburg
L L D L W
11.04 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 2:3 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
06.04 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 0:1 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
26.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 0:0 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
20.10 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 2:4 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
05.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 3:1 VfL BochumVfL Bochum
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.8 Conceded
4 Points