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Bundesliga Germany

24.01.2026 14:30 UTC Match prediction

24.01.2026 14:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05 - VfL Wolfsburg

Germany Football

FSV Mainz 05

3 : 1

Finished

VfL Wolfsburg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FSV Mainz 05 - VfL Wolfsburg January 24, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FSV Mainz 05.

Line favourite market consensus: FSV Mainz 05. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.34 / X 3.32 / 2 3.10
1X2 market: FSV Mainz 05 40.6% / X 28.7% / VfL Wolfsburg 30.7%
Total 2.5: over probability 50.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%

1 40.7%

X 28.7%

2 30.7%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%

Over 2.5 49.7%

Under 2.5 50.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 24.01.2026 14:30 UTC

Match center

FSV Mainz 05 - VfL Wolfsburg

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.10 market consensus · line only

X 3.33 market consensus · line only

1 2.35 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.62 market consensus · line only

12 1.33 market consensus · line only

1X 1.38 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.63 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.27 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.01 market consensus · line only

2 +1 5.62 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.92 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.90 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.09 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.70 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.40 41.7%
X	3.41 29.3%
	3.16 31.7%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	2.28 43.9%	2.39 41.8%	2.43 41.2%	2.25 44.4%	2.35 42.6%	2.35 42.6%
X	3.25 30.8%	3.35 29.9%	3.44 29.1%	3.20 31.3%	3.30 30.3%	3.35 29.9%
	3.10 32.3%	3.10 32.3%	3.20 31.3%	3.00 33.3%	3.10 32.3%	3.10 32.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.10 47.6%	2.15 46.5%	2.05 48.8%	2.00 50.0%	2.05 48.8%	2.07 48.3%	2.05 48.8%	2.03 49.3%	2.16 46.3%
yes	1.70 58.8%	1.71 58.5%	1.70 58.8%	1.73 57.8%	1.70 58.8%	1.70 58.8%	1.73 57.8%	1.70 58.8%	1.75 57.1%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.60 62.5%	1.63 61.4%	1.60 62.5%	1.62 61.7%	1.62 61.7%	1.64 61.0%
home_away	1.28 78.1%	1.36 73.5%	1.33 75.2%	1.33 75.2%	1.31 76.3%	1.36 73.5%
home_draw	1.35 74.1%	1.40 71.4%	1.36 73.5%	1.36 73.5%	1.40 71.4%	1.41 70.9%

Match center

FSV Mainz 05

L W D D D

17.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05 1:2 1. FC Köln

13.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05 2:1 1. FC Heidenheim

10.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05 2:2 Union Berlin

21.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05 0:0 FC St. Pauli

14.12 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05 2:2 Bavariya

1 Wins

3 Draws

1 Losses

1.4 Scored

1.4 Conceded

6 Points

VfL Wolfsburg

D W L L W

17.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg 1:1 1. FC Heidenheim

14.01 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg 2:1 FC St. Pauli

11.01 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg 1:8 Bavariya

20.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg 3:4 Frayburg

13.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg 3:1 Borussia Mönchengladbach

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

2.0 Scored

3.0 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyFSV Mainz 05 - VfL Wolfsburg

FSV Mainz 05

2 matches total

VfL Wolfsburg

FSV Mainz 05: 0 (0%)

Draws:2 (100%)

VfL Wolfsburg: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 19.04 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (19.04 13:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

31.08 13:30 UTC

Bundesliga

Maynts

1:1

VfL Wolfsburg

19.04 13:30 UTC

Bundesliga

Maynts

2:2

VfL Wolfsburg