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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
17.01.2026 14:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Hamburger SV - Borussia Monchengladbach

Germany Football
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
0 : 0
Finished
Borussia Monchengladbach
Borussia Monchengladbach

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hamburger SV - Borussia Monchengladbach January 17, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Hamburger SV.

Line favourite market consensus: Hamburger SV. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.41 / X 3.39 / 2 2.94
  • 1X2 market: Hamburger SV 39.6% / X 28.0% / Borussia Monchengladbach 32.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 39.5%
X 28.1%
2 32.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 52.6%
Under 2.5 47.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 17.01.2026 14:30 UTC
Match center

Hamburger SV - Borussia Monchengladbach

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.95 market consensus · line only
X 3.40 market consensus · line only
1 2.41 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.58 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.41 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.59 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.25 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.84 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.94 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.02 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.23 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.61 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.45 40.8%
X 3.46 28.9%
3.03 33.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.34 42.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.48 40.3% 2.38 42.0% 2.40 41.7% 2.42 41.3%
X 3.40 29.4% 3.45 29.0% 3.52 28.4% 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.30 30.3%
2.96 33.8% 3.00 33.3% 3.05 32.8% 2.80 35.7% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.20 45.5% 2.26 44.3% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.17 46.1% 2.33 42.9%
yes 1.62 61.7% 1.64 61.0% 1.61 62.1% 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.61 62.1% 1.65 60.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.57 63.7% 1.61 62.1% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.61 62.1%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.35 74.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.32 75.8% 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 1.38 72.5% 1.43 69.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.44 69.4%
Match center
Hamburger SV
L D L W W
10.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV 1:2 FrayburgFrayburg
20.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV 1:1 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
13.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV 1:4 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
07.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV 3:2 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
30.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV 2:1 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
2.0 Conceded
7 Points
Borussia Monchengladbach
L W L L W
14.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 1:5 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
11.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 4:0 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
19.12 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 0:2 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
13.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 1:3 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
05.12 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 1:0 MayntsMaynts
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.0 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyHamburger SV - Borussia Monchengladbach

Hamburger SV
1 matches total
Borussia Monchengladbach
Hamburger SV: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Borussia Monchengladbach: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (24.08 15:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

24.08 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
0:0
Borussia Mönchengladbach