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Start
05.10.2025 15:30 UTC
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05.10.2025 15:30 UTC
Finished
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV - FSV Mainz 05
4
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Hamburger SV - FSV Mainz 05 October 5, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FSV Mainz 05.
Line favourite market consensus: FSV Mainz 05. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.11 / X 3.64 / 2 2.20
- 1X2 market: Hamburger SV 30.6% / X 26.1% / FSV Mainz 05 43.3%
- Total 2.5: over probability 59.9%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.1%
1
30.6%
X
26.1%
2
43.3%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.9%
Over 2.5
59.9%
Under 2.5
40.1%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Hamburger SV - FSV Mainz 05
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.20
market consensus · line only
X
3.65
market consensus · line only
1
3.12
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.37
market consensus · line only
12
1.29
market consensus · line only
1X
1.70
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.39
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.15
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
2.15
market consensus · line only
2 +1
3.14
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.59
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.38
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.49
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.50
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 3.26 30.7% | |
| X | 3.79 26.4% |
| 2.19 45.7% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.10 32.3% | 2.88 34.7% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.20 31.3% | |
| X | 3.65 27.4% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.78 26.5% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.65 27.4% |
| 2.16 46.3% | 2.41 41.5% | 2.28 43.9% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.15 46.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.50 40.0% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.48 40.3% | 2.45 40.8% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.63 38.0% | 2.44 41.0% | 2.65 37.7% |
| yes | 1.48 67.6% | 1.58 63.3% | 1.49 67.1% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.49 67.1% | 1.52 65.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.36 73.5% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.37 73.0% | 1.40 71.4% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.31 76.3% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.31 76.3% |
| home_draw | 1.67 59.9% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.71 58.5% |
Match center
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Match center
Full head-to-head historyHamburger SV - FSV Mainz 05
Hamburger SV
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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