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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
01.03.2026 18:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Hamburger SV - RB Leipzig

Germany Football
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
1 : 2
Finished
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig

Hamburger SV meet RB Leipzig on March 1, 2026 in the Bundesliga, Germany.

Recent form (W-D-L): Hamburger SV 2-3-0, RB Leipzig 1-3-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The bookmaker line makes RB Leipzig the favourite at about 50%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hamburger SV - RB Leipzig March 1, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like RB Leipzig.

Line favourite market consensus: RB Leipzig. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.80 / X 3.84 / 2 1.89
  • 1X2 market: Hamburger SV 25.0% / X 24.8% / RB Leipzig 50.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 62.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 25.0%
X 24.7%
2 50.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.1%
Over 2.5 62.0%
Under 2.5 38.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.03.2026 18:30 UTC
Market 1 25.0% @ 3.80 / X 24.7% @ 3.84 / 2 50.3% @ 1.89
Match center

Hamburger SV - RB Leipzig

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.89 market consensus · line only
X 3.85 market consensus · line only
1 3.81 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.26 market consensus · line only
12 1.26 market consensus · line only
1X 1.91 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.29 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.09 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.87 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.51 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.52 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.48 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.55 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.47 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
4.00 25.0%
X 3.97 25.2%
1.89 52.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.50 28.6% 4.00 25.0% 3.98 25.1% 3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0% 3.80 26.3%
X 3.85 26.0% 3.95 25.3% 3.96 25.3% 3.60 27.8% 3.90 25.6% 3.90 25.6%
1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.96 51.0% 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.88 53.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.60 38.5% 2.69 37.2% 2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.38 42.0% 2.55 39.2% 2.63 38.0% 2.46 40.7% 2.71 36.9%
yes 1.45 69.0% 1.47 68.0% 1.48 67.6% 1.44 69.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.44 69.4% 1.48 67.6% 1.50 66.7%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.22 82.0%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.29 77.5% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.20 83.3%
home_draw 1.85 54.1% 1.94 51.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4%
Match center
Hamburger SV
D W W D D
20.02 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV 1:1 MayntsMaynts
14.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV 3:2 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
07.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV 2:0 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
31.01 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV 2:2 BavariyaBavariya
23.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV 0:0 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.0 Conceded
9 Points
RB Leipzig
D D W L D
21.02 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 2:2 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
15.02 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 2:2 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
08.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 2:1 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
31.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 1:2 MayntsMaynts
27.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 1:1 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyHamburger SV - RB Leipzig

Hamburger SV
1 matches total
RB Leipzig
Hamburger SV: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
RB Leipzig: 1 (100%)
Biggest win RB Leipzig 1:2 (18.10 13:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 18.10 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 1

Match history

18.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
1:2
RB Leipzig