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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
25.10.2025 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Hamburger SV - VfL Wolfsburg

Germany Football
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
0 : 1
Finished
VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg

Hamburger SV meet VfL Wolfsburg on October 25, 2025 in the Bundesliga, Germany.

Recent form (W-D-L): Hamburger SV 2-1-2, VfL Wolfsburg 0-1-4. The bookmaker line makes Hamburger SV the favourite at about 42%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hamburger SV - VfL Wolfsburg October 25, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Hamburger SV.

Line favourite market consensus: Hamburger SV. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.26 / X 3.62 / 2 3.03
  • 1X2 market: Hamburger SV 42.2% / X 26.3% / VfL Wolfsburg 31.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 42.2%
X 26.3%
2 31.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 59.7%
Under 2.5 40.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.10.2025 13:30 UTC
Market 1 42.2% @ 2.26 / X 26.3% @ 3.62 / 2 31.5% @ 3.03
Match center

Hamburger SV - VfL Wolfsburg

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.04 market consensus · line only
X 3.62 market consensus · line only
1 2.26 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.65 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 1.39 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.69 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.33 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.00 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.83 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.60 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.37 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.53 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.49 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.24 44.6%
X 3.71 27.0%
3.20 31.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.20 45.5% 2.23 44.8% 2.34 42.7% 2.25 44.4% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4%
X 3.55 28.2% 3.65 27.4% 3.78 26.5% 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.55 28.2%
3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3% 2.90 34.5% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.45 40.8% 2.61 38.3% 2.48 40.3% 2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.55 39.2% 2.63 38.0% 2.44 41.0% 2.70 37.0%
yes 1.48 67.6% 1.50 66.7% 1.49 67.1% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.47 68.0% 1.44 69.4% 1.49 67.1% 1.51 66.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.60 62.5% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.31 76.3%
home_draw 1.36 73.5% 1.42 70.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.39 71.9% 1.42 70.4%
Match center
Hamburger SV
L W D W L
18.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV 1:2 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
05.10 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV 4:0 MayntsMaynts
28.09 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV 0:0 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
20.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV 2:1 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
13.09 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV 0:5 BavariyaBavariya
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points
VfL Wolfsburg
L L L L D
18.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 0:3 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
04.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 1:3 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
27.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 0:1 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
21.09 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 0:1 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
13.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 3:3 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.8 Scored
2.2 Conceded
1 Points