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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
20.09.2025 16:30 UTC Match prediction
20.09.2025 16:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

RB Leipzig - 1. FC Köln

Germany Football
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
3 : 1
Finished
1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction RB Leipzig - 1. FC Köln September 20, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like RB Leipzig.

Line favourite market consensus: RB Leipzig. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.90 / X 4.07 / 2 3.76
  • 1X2 market: RB Leipzig 50.7% / X 23.7% / 1. FC Köln 25.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 66.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.8%
1 50.7%
X 23.7%
2 25.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.1%
Over 2.5 66.8%
Under 2.5 33.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.09.2025 16:30 UTC
Match center

RB Leipzig - 1. FC Köln

Form 5/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.79 market consensus · line only
X 4.05 market consensus · line only
1 1.90 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.94 market consensus · line only
12 1.26 market consensus · line only
1X 1.30 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.00 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.55 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.89 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.40 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.41 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.84 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.84 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.41 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.92 52.1%
X 3.92 25.5%
3.94 25.4%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
1.90 52.6% 1.92 52.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.92 52.1% 1.92 52.1% 1.85 54.1%
X 4.05 24.7% 4.36 22.9% 4.25 23.5% 3.92 25.5% 3.92 25.5% 3.90 25.6%
3.70 27.0% 3.79 26.4% 3.70 27.0% 3.94 25.4% 3.94 25.4% 3.50 28.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 2.98 33.6% 2.81 35.6% 2.76 36.2% 3.02 33.1% 2.62 38.2%
yes 1.40 71.4% 1.39 71.9% 1.39 71.9% 1.42 70.4% 1.44 69.4%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 1.98 50.5% 1.98 50.5% 1.92 52.1% 1.92 52.1% 1.91 52.4%
home_away 1.26 79.4% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.31 76.3% 1.30 76.9% 1.31 76.3% 1.31 76.3% 1.29 77.5%
Match center
RB Leipzig
W W L L D
13.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 1:0 MayntsMaynts
30.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 2:0 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
22.08 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 0:6 BavariyaBavariya
17.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 2:3 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
10.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 0:0 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
7 Points
1. FC Köln
D W W
13.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 3:3 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
31.08 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 4:1 FrayburgFrayburg
24.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 1:0 MayntsMaynts
2 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.7 Scored
1.3 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRB Leipzig - 1. FC Köln

RB Leipzig
0 matches total
1. FC Köln
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history