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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
18.10.2025 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

RB Leipzig - Hamburger SV

Germany Football
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
2 : 1
Finished
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV

RB Leipzig take on Hamburger SV on October 18, 2025 in the Bundesliga, Germany.

Recent form (W-D-L): RB Leipzig 4-1-0, Hamburger SV 2-1-2. The bookmaker line makes RB Leipzig the favourite at about 66%. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction RB Leipzig - Hamburger SV October 18, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like RB Leipzig.

Line favourite market consensus: RB Leipzig. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.45 / X 5.16 / 2 6.30
  • 1X2 market: RB Leipzig 66.1% / X 18.6% / Hamburger SV 15.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 69.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.2%
1 66.2%
X 18.6%
2 15.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.1%
Over 2.5 69.3%
Under 2.5 30.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.10.2025 13:30 UTC
Market 1 66.2% @ 1.45 / X 18.6% @ 5.16 / 2 15.2% @ 6.30
Match center

RB Leipzig - Hamburger SV

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.29 market consensus · line only
X 5.17 market consensus · line only
1 1.45 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.82 market consensus · line only
12 1.19 market consensus · line only
1X 1.14 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.83 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.24 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.75 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.44 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.36 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 3.07 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.51 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.51 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.46 68.5%
X 5.29 18.9%
6.23 16.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
1.43 69.9% 1.48 67.6% 1.45 69.0% 1.45 69.0% 1.46 68.5% 1.46 68.5%
X 5.20 19.2% 5.31 18.8% 5.00 20.0% 5.20 19.2% 5.29 18.9% 5.29 18.9%
6.60 15.2% 6.58 15.2% 6.00 16.7% 6.45 15.5% 6.23 16.1% 6.23 16.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 2.66 37.6% 2.45 40.8% 2.50 40.0% 2.41 41.5% 2.58 38.8% 2.45 40.8%
yes 1.48 67.6% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.50 66.7%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 2.85 35.1% 2.62 38.2% 2.89 34.6% 2.90 34.5% 2.90 34.5% 2.75 36.4%
home_away 1.19 84.0% 1.17 85.5% 1.19 84.0% 1.19 84.0% 1.19 84.0% 1.18 84.8%
home_draw 1.14 87.7% 1.12 89.3% 1.14 87.7% 1.15 87.0% 1.15 87.0% 1.12 89.3%
Match center
RB Leipzig
D W W W W
04.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 1:1 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
27.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 1:0 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
20.09 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 3:1 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
13.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 1:0 MayntsMaynts
30.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 2:0 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.4 Conceded
13 Points
Hamburger SV
W D W L L
05.10 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV 4:0 MayntsMaynts
28.09 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV 0:0 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
20.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV 2:1 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
13.09 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV 0:5 BavariyaBavariya
29.08 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV 0:2 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRB Leipzig - Hamburger SV

RB Leipzig
0 matches total
Hamburger SV
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history