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Bundesliga Germany

15.02.2026 16:30 UTC Match prediction

15.02.2026 16:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

RB Leipzig - VfL Wolfsburg

Germany Football

RB Leipzig

2 : 2

Finished

VfL Wolfsburg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction RB Leipzig - VfL Wolfsburg February 15, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like RB Leipzig.

Line favourite market consensus: RB Leipzig. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.54 / X 4.61 / 2 5.32
1X2 market: RB Leipzig 61.6% / X 20.6% / VfL Wolfsburg 17.9%
Total 2.5: over probability 68.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%

1 61.6%

X 20.6%

2 17.8%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.3%

Over 2.5 68.6%

Under 2.5 31.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 15.02.2026 16:30 UTC

Match center

RB Leipzig - VfL Wolfsburg

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 5.33 market consensus · line only

X 4.62 market consensus · line only

1 1.54 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.50 market consensus · line only

12 1.20 market consensus · line only

1X 1.16 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.54 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.99 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 5.22 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.51 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.37 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 3.00 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.61 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.46 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.56 64.1%
X	4.70 21.3%
	5.47 18.3%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.54 64.9%	1.56 64.1%	1.60 62.5%	1.53 65.4%	1.53 65.4%	1.60 62.5%
X	4.65 21.5%	4.80 20.8%	4.82 20.8%	4.20 23.8%	4.50 22.2%	4.60 21.7%
	4.80 20.8%	5.20 19.2%	5.48 18.3%	5.00 20.0%	5.50 18.2%	5.60 17.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.62 38.2%	2.79 35.8%	2.66 37.6%	2.50 40.0%	2.50 40.0%	2.62 38.2%	2.63 38.0%	2.62 38.2%	2.83 35.3%
yes	1.45 69.0%	1.45 69.0%	1.43 69.9%	1.44 69.4%	1.50 66.7%	1.45 69.0%	1.44 69.4%	1.43 69.9%	1.47 68.0%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	2.40 41.7%	2.50 40.0%	2.50 40.0%	2.50 40.0%	2.45 40.8%	2.40 41.7%
home_away	1.15 87.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.20 83.3%	1.18 84.8%	1.21 82.6%	1.17 85.5%
home_draw	1.17 85.5%	1.19 84.0%	1.15 87.0%	1.14 87.7%	1.18 84.8%	1.13 88.5%

Match center

RB Leipzig

W L D W L

08.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

RB Leipzig 2:1 1. FC Köln

31.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

RB Leipzig 1:2 Maynts

27.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga

RB Leipzig 1:1 FC St. Pauli

24.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

RB Leipzig 3:0 1. FC Heidenheim

17.01 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

RB Leipzig 1:5 Bavariya

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.6 Scored

1.8 Conceded

7 Points

VfL Wolfsburg

L L L D W

07.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg 1:2 Borussia Dortmund

30.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg 0:1 1. FC Köln

24.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg 1:3 Maynts

17.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg 1:1 1. FC Heidenheim

14.01 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg 2:1 FC St. Pauli

1 Wins

1 Draws

3 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.6 Conceded

4 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyRB Leipzig - VfL Wolfsburg

RB Leipzig

2 matches total

VfL Wolfsburg

RB Leipzig: 2 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

VfL Wolfsburg: 0 (0%)

Biggest win RB Leipzig 1:0 (27.09 13:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 5 goals (3:2, 11.04 18:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

4 Goals scored 2

2 Goals conceded 4

Match history

27.09 13:30 UTC

Bundesliga

RB Leipzig

1:0

VfL Wolfsburg

11.04 18:30 UTC

Bundesliga

RB Leipzig

3:2

VfL Wolfsburg