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Bundesliga Germany

25.01.2026 16:30 UTC Match prediction

25.01.2026 16:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

SC Freiburg - 1. FC Köln

Germany Football

SC Freiburg

2 : 1

Finished

1. FC Köln

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction SC Freiburg - 1. FC Köln January 25, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like SC Freiburg.

Line favourite market consensus: SC Freiburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.97 / X 3.64 / 2 3.74
1X2 market: SC Freiburg 48.3% / X 26.2% / 1. FC Köln 25.5%
Total 2.5: over probability 54.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%

1 48.4%

X 26.2%

2 25.5%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%

Over 2.5 54.7%

Under 2.5 45.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 25.01.2026 16:30 UTC

Match center

SC Freiburg - 1. FC Köln

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.74 market consensus · line only

X 3.65 market consensus · line only

1 1.98 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.86 market consensus · line only

12 1.29 market consensus · line only

1X 1.28 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.88 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.45 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.58 market consensus · line only

2 +1 6.90 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.75 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.11 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.22 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.63 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.02 49.5%
X	3.74 26.7%
	3.84 26.0%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.90 52.6%	2.02 49.5%	2.03 49.3%	1.91 52.4%	1.95 51.3%	2.02 49.5%
X	3.55 28.2%	3.65 27.4%	3.78 26.5%	3.40 29.4%	3.75 26.7%	3.65 27.4%
	3.80 26.3%	3.65 27.4%	3.86 25.9%	3.60 27.8%	3.60 27.8%	3.90 25.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.20 45.5%	2.37 42.2%	2.22 45.1%	2.20 45.5%	2.10 47.6%	2.25 44.4%	2.25 44.4%	2.19 45.7%	2.34 42.7%
yes	1.62 61.7%	1.59 62.9%	1.60 62.5%	1.62 61.7%	1.67 59.9%	1.60 62.5%	1.60 62.5%	1.60 62.5%	1.64 61.0%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.85 54.1%	1.87 53.5%	1.83 54.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.85 54.1%	1.87 53.5%
home_away	1.22 82.0%	1.31 76.3%	1.30 76.9%	1.28 78.1%	1.28 78.1%	1.31 76.3%
home_draw	1.25 80.0%	1.30 76.9%	1.25 80.0%	1.28 78.1%	1.29 77.5%	1.30 76.9%