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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
19.04.2025 13:30 UTC Match prediction
19.04.2025 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

SC Freiburg - 1899 Hoffenheim

Germany Football
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
3 : 2
Finished
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction SC Freiburg - 1899 Hoffenheim April 19, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like SC Freiburg.

Line favourite market consensus: SC Freiburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.92 / X 3.97 / 2 3.90
  • 1X2 market: SC Freiburg 50.6% / X 24.5% / 1899 Hoffenheim 24.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.9%
1 50.6%
X 24.5%
2 24.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.2%
Over 2.5 59.1%
Under 2.5 40.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 19.04.2025 13:30 UTC
Match center

SC Freiburg - 1899 Hoffenheim

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.90 market consensus · line only
X 3.97 market consensus · line only
1 1.92 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.97 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.29 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.37 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.92 52.1%
X 3.97 25.2%
3.90 25.6%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.97 50.8%
home_away 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.29 77.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.64 61.0%
Under 2.5 2.37 42.2%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.44 69.4%
2.93 34.1%
Match center
SC Freiburg
W L L W W
12.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 2:1 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
05.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 1:4 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
26.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 1:3 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
19.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 3:1 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
05.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 1:0 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.8 Conceded
9 Points
1899 Hoffenheim
W L D W D
12.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 2:0 MayntsMaynts
05.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 1:3 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
27.10 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 0:0 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
19.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 3:1 VfL BochumVfL Bochum
06.10 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 1:1 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.0 Conceded
8 Points