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Bundesliga Germany

28.09.2025 13:30 UTC Match prediction

28.09.2025 13:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

SC Freiburg - 1899 Hoffenheim

Germany Football

SC Freiburg

1 : 1

Finished

1899 Hoffenheim

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction SC Freiburg - 1899 Hoffenheim September 28, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like SC Freiburg.

Line favourite market consensus: SC Freiburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.31 / X 3.35 / 2 3.11
1X2 market: SC Freiburg 41.2% / X 28.3% / 1899 Hoffenheim 30.5%
Total 2.5: over probability 52.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%

1 41.1%

X 28.3%

2 30.5%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.4%

Over 2.5 52.3%

Under 2.5 47.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 28.09.2025 13:30 UTC

Match center

SC Freiburg - 1899 Hoffenheim

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.12 market consensus · line only

X 3.35 market consensus · line only

1 2.31 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.63 market consensus · line only

12 1.32 market consensus · line only

1X 1.37 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.65 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.30 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.09 market consensus · line only

2 +1 5.25 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.83 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.01 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.21 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.63 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.37 42.2%
X	3.36 29.8%
	3.25 30.8%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	2.28 43.9%	2.33 42.9%	2.34 42.7%	2.30 43.5%	2.25 44.4%	2.32 43.1%
X	3.35 29.9%	3.35 29.9%	3.47 28.8%	3.30 30.3%	3.50 28.6%	3.25 30.8%
	3.10 32.3%	3.20 31.3%	3.16 31.7%	3.00 33.3%	3.10 32.3%	3.20 31.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.10 47.6%	2.24 44.6%	2.24 44.6%	2.20 45.5%	2.20 45.5%	2.20 45.5%	2.15 46.5%	2.16 46.3%	2.32 43.1%
yes	1.65 60.6%	1.66 60.2%	1.65 60.6%	1.62 61.7%	1.62 61.7%	1.62 61.7%	1.60 62.5%	1.62 61.7%	1.66 60.2%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.60 62.5%	1.62 61.7%	1.62 61.7%	1.62 61.7%	1.62 61.7%	1.64 61.0%
home_away	1.28 78.1%	1.33 75.2%	1.30 76.9%	1.28 78.1%	1.33 75.2%	1.35 74.1%
home_draw	1.36 73.5%	1.38 72.5%	1.36 73.5%	1.36 73.5%	1.37 73.0%	1.39 71.9%

Match center

SC Freiburg

W W L L L

20.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

SC Freiburg 3:0 Werder Bremen

13.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

SC Freiburg 3:1 VfB Stuttgart

31.08 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

SC Freiburg 1:4 1. FC Köln

23.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

SC Freiburg 1:3 FC Augsburg

17.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

SC Freiburg 1:3 Eintracht Frankfurt

2 Wins

0 Draws

3 Losses

1.8 Scored

2.2 Conceded

6 Points

1899 Hoffenheim

L W L W L

20.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim 1:4 Bavariya

13.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim 4:2 Union Berlin

30.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim 1:3 Eintracht Frankfurt

23.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim 2:1 Bayer Leverkusen

17.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim 0:4 Bavariya

2 Wins

0 Draws

3 Losses

1.6 Scored

2.8 Conceded

6 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historySC Freiburg - 1899 Hoffenheim

SC Freiburg

1 matches total

1899 Hoffenheim

SC Freiburg: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

1899 Hoffenheim: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Frayburg 3:2 (19.04 13:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 5 goals (3:2, 19.04 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

19.04 13:30 UTC

Bundesliga

Frayburg

3:2

1899 Hoffenheim