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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
04.05.2025 15:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

SC Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen

Germany Football
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
2 : 2
Finished
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen

SC Freiburg take on Bayer Leverkusen on May 4, 2025 in the Bundesliga, Germany.

Recent form (W-D-L): SC Freiburg 3-0-2, Bayer Leverkusen 2-3-0. The bookmaker line makes Bayer Leverkusen the favourite at about 43%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction SC Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen May 4, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayer Leverkusen.

Line favourite market consensus: Bayer Leverkusen. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.25 / X 3.53 / 2 2.26
  • 1X2 market: SC Freiburg 29.8% / X 27.4% / Bayer Leverkusen 42.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.4%
1 29.8%
X 27.4%
2 42.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.5%
Over 2.5 54.9%
Under 2.5 45.1%

Odds source: SStats Consensus line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.05.2025 15:30 UTC
Market 1 29.8% @ 3.25 / X 27.4% @ 3.53 / 2 42.8% @ 2.26
Match center

SC Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.26 market consensus · line only
X 3.53 market consensus · line only
1 3.25 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.38 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.69 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.14 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.25 30.8%
X 3.53 28.3%
2.26 44.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.38 72.5%
home_away 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.69 59.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.76 56.8%
Under 2.5 2.14 46.7%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.35 42.6%
1.63 61.4%
Match center
SC Freiburg
W W W L L
26.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 1:0 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
19.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 3:2 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
12.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 2:1 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
05.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 1:4 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
26.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 1:3 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
2.0 Conceded
9 Points
Bayer Leverkusen
W D D W D
26.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 2:0 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
20.04 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 1:1 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
12.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 0:0 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
05.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 1:0 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
26.10 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 2:2 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.6 Conceded
9 Points