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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
07.03.2026 14:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

SC Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen

Germany Football
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
3 : 3
Finished
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen

SC Freiburg go head-to-head with Bayer Leverkusen on March 7, 2026 in the Bundesliga, Germany.

Recent form (W-D-L): SC Freiburg 2-0-3, Bayer Leverkusen 2-2-1. These sides have met 2 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Sportsbooks lean towards Bayer Leverkusen, an implied 40% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction SC Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen March 7, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayer Leverkusen.

Line favourite market consensus: Bayer Leverkusen. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.97 / X 3.39 / 2 2.37
  • 1X2 market: SC Freiburg 32.0% / X 28.0% / Bayer Leverkusen 40.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.7% 13 books · best price +3.4%
1 32.1%
X 27.8%
2 40.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 52.6%
Under 2.5 47.4%

Odds source: consensus of 13 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 07.03.2026 14:30 UTC
Market 1 32.0% @ 2.97 / X 28.0% @ 3.39 / 2 40.0% @ 2.37
Match center

SC Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.37 market consensus · line only
X 3.40 market consensus · line only
1 2.97 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.39 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.59 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.42 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.16 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.33 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.65 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.02 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.18 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.64 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.02 33.1%
X 3.52 28.4%
2.43 41.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.88 34.7% 2.99 33.4% 3.08 32.5% 2.88 34.7% 3.00 33.3% 2.92 34.3%
X 3.45 29.0% 3.50 28.6% 3.54 28.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.45 29.0%
2.30 43.5% 2.36 42.4% 2.45 40.8% 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.37 42.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.20 45.5% 2.27 44.1% 2.17 46.1% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.14 46.7% 2.32 43.1%
yes 1.62 61.7% 1.64 61.0% 1.63 61.4% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.63 61.4% 1.66 60.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.40 71.4% 1.43 69.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.44 69.4% 1.33 75.2%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.34 74.6% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7%
Match center
SC Freiburg
L W L W L
01.03 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 0:2 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
22.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 2:1 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
14.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 0:3 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
07.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 1:0 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
01.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 0:1 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.4 Conceded
6 Points
Bayer Leverkusen
W D L W D
04.03 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 1:0 Hamburger SVHamburger SV
28.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 1:1 MayntsMaynts
21.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 0:1 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
14.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 4:0 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
07.02 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 1:1 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.6 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySC Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen

SC Freiburg
2 matches total
Bayer Leverkusen
SC Freiburg: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Bayer Leverkusen: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Bayer Leverkusen 0:2 (26.10 14:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 04.05 15:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (04.05 15:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

26.10 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Frayburg
0:2
Bayer Leverkusen
04.05 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
Frayburg
2:2
Bayer Leverkusen