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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
22.02.2026 14:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

SC Freiburg - Borussia Monchengladbach

Germany Football
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
2 : 1
Finished
Borussia Monchengladbach
Borussia Monchengladbach

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction SC Freiburg - Borussia Monchengladbach February 22, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like SC Freiburg.

Line favourite market consensus: SC Freiburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.00 / X 3.39 / 2 3.82
  • 1X2 market: SC Freiburg 47.3% / X 27.9% / Borussia Monchengladbach 24.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.7%
1 47.3%
X 27.9%
2 24.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 52.0%
Under 2.5 48.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.02.2026 14:30 UTC
Match center

SC Freiburg - Borussia Monchengladbach

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.84 market consensus · line only
X 3.40 market consensus · line only
1 2.00 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.80 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.27 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.42 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.79 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.95 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.84 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.99 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.12 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.68 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.03 49.3%
X 3.47 28.8%
4.05 24.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.98 50.5% 2.03 49.3% 2.06 48.5% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0%
X 3.40 29.4% 3.35 29.9% 3.54 28.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4%
3.70 27.0% 3.50 28.6% 4.03 24.8% 3.40 29.4% 4.10 24.4% 3.85 26.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.15 46.5% 2.21 45.3% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.12 47.2% 2.15 46.5% 2.07 48.3% 2.23 44.8%
yes 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.77 56.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.73 57.8%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.35 74.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.30 76.9% 1.22 82.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.25 80.0%
Match center
SC Freiburg
L W L W D
14.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 0:3 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
07.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 1:0 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
01.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 0:1 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
25.01 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 2:1 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
18.01 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 2:2 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Borussia Monchengladbach
L D D L D
14.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 0:3 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
07.02 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 1:1 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
31.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 1:1 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
25.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 0:3 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
17.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 0:0 Hamburger SVHamburger SV
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
0.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySC Freiburg - Borussia Monchengladbach

SC Freiburg
2 matches total
Borussia Monchengladbach
SC Freiburg: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Borussia Monchengladbach: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Frayburg 2:1 (12.04 13:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 12.04 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (05.10 17:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

05.10 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
Frayburg
0:0
Borussia Mönchengladbach
12.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Frayburg
2:1
Borussia Mönchengladbach