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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
13.09.2025 13:30 UTC Match prediction
13.09.2025 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

SC Freiburg - VfB Stuttgart

Germany Football
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
3 : 1
Finished
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction SC Freiburg - VfB Stuttgart September 13, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like VfB Stuttgart.

Line favourite market consensus: VfB Stuttgart. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.70 / X 3.50 / 2 2.55
  • 1X2 market: SC Freiburg 35.3% / X 27.3% / VfB Stuttgart 37.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%
1 35.3%
X 27.3%
2 37.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 56.8%
Under 2.5 43.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 13.09.2025 13:30 UTC
Match center

SC Freiburg - VfB Stuttgart

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.55 market consensus · line only
X 3.50 market consensus · line only
1 2.70 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.44 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.50 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.48 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.21 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.42 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.90 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.20 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.38 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.53 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.70 37.0%
X 3.50 28.6%
2.55 39.2%

Match Winner

Outcome Bet365 SStats Consensus
2.70 37.0% 2.70 37.0%
X 3.50 28.6% 3.50 28.6%
2.55 39.2% 2.55 39.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome Bet365
no 2.38 42.0%
yes 1.53 65.4%

Double chance

Outcome Bet365 SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7%
Match center
SC Freiburg
L L L W D
31.08 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 1:4 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
23.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 1:3 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
17.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 1:3 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
10.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 2:1 Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
04.05 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 2:2 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.6 Conceded
4 Points
VfB Stuttgart
W L W W W
30.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 1:0 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
23.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 1:2 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
17.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 3:2 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
11.05 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 4:0 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
03.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 1:0 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
12 Points