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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
27.10.2024 16:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Union Berlin - Eintracht Frankfurt

Germany Football
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
1 : 1
Finished
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Union Berlin - Eintracht Frankfurt October 27, 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Union Berlin.

Line favourite market consensus: Union Berlin. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.48 / X 3.36 / 2 3.06
  • 1X2 market: Union Berlin 39.2% / X 29.0% / Eintracht Frankfurt 31.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 39.2%
X 29.0%
2 31.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.6%
Over 2.5 50.8%
Under 2.5 49.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 27.10.2024 16:30 UTC
Match center

Union Berlin - Eintracht Frankfurt

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.06 market consensus · line only
X 3.36 market consensus · line only
1 2.48 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.59 market consensus · line only
12 1.37 market consensus · line only
1X 1.42 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.92 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.98 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.48 40.3%
X 3.36 29.8%
3.06 32.7%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.59 62.9%
home_away 1.37 73.0%
home_draw 1.42 70.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.92 52.1%
Under 2.5 1.98 50.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.76 56.8%
2.15 46.5%
Match center
Union Berlin
W W L W D
20.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 2:0 Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
05.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 2:1 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
28.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 0:1 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
21.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 2:1 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
14.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 0:0 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.6 Conceded
10 Points
Eintracht Frankfurt
L D W W W
19.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 1:2 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
06.10 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 3:3 BavariyaBavariya
29.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 4:2 Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
21.09 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 2:0 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
14.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 2:1 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
10 Points