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Start
28.09.2025 17:30 UTC
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28.09.2025 17:30 UTC
Finished
Bundesliga
Union Berlin - Hamburger SV
0
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Union Berlin - Hamburger SV September 28, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Union Berlin.
Line favourite market consensus: Union Berlin. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.03 / X 3.46 / 2 3.73
- 1X2 market: Union Berlin 46.9% / X 27.5% / Hamburger SV 25.6%
- Total 2.5: over probability 51.1%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.0%
1
46.9%
X
27.5%
2
25.5%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5
48.8%
Under 2.5
51.2%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Union Berlin - Hamburger SV
Form
5/4
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.74
market consensus · line only
X
3.46
market consensus · line only
1
2.03
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.80
market consensus · line only
12
1.31
market consensus · line only
1X
1.29
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.85
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.40
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
3.59
market consensus · line only
2 +1
7.20
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.96
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.87
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.01
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.76
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 2.07 48.3% | |
| X | 3.49 28.7% |
| 3.88 25.8% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.02 49.5% | 2.03 49.3% | 2.12 47.2% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.00 50.0% | |
| X | 3.45 29.0% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.56 28.1% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.50 28.6% |
| 3.65 27.4% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.79 26.4% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.85 26.0% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.95 51.3% | 2.04 49.0% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.05 48.8% | 1.99 50.3% | 2.06 48.5% |
| yes | 1.75 57.1% | 1.79 55.9% | 1.74 57.5% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.83 54.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.75 57.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.80 55.6% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.33 75.2% |
| home_draw | 1.28 78.1% | 1.31 76.3% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.30 76.9% |
Match center
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FC Augsburg
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Wins
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Draws
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Losses
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Scored
2.4
Conceded
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Points
Hamburger SV
W
L
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D
20.09 13:30 UTC
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2:1
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Borussia Mönchengladbach
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1
Wins
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Draws
2
Losses
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Scored
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Conceded
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Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyUnion Berlin - Hamburger SV
Union Berlin
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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