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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
19.04.2025 16:30 UTC Match prediction
19.04.2025 16:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Union Berlin - VfB Stuttgart

Germany Football
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
4 : 4
Finished
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Union Berlin - VfB Stuttgart April 19, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like VfB Stuttgart.

Line favourite market consensus: VfB Stuttgart. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.18 / X 3.50 / 2 2.34
  • 1X2 market: Union Berlin 30.6% / X 27.8% / VfB Stuttgart 41.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 30.6%
X 27.8%
2 41.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.8%
Over 2.5 53.5%
Under 2.5 46.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 19.04.2025 16:30 UTC
Match center

Union Berlin - VfB Stuttgart

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.34 market consensus · line only
X 3.50 market consensus · line only
1 3.18 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.40 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 1.66 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.09 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.18 31.5%
X 3.50 28.6%
2.34 42.7%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.40 71.4%
home_away 1.34 74.6%
home_draw 1.66 60.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.82 55.0%
Under 2.5 2.09 47.9%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.29 43.7%
1.68 59.5%
Match center
Union Berlin
D W D W W
12.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 0:0 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
06.04 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 1:0 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
27.10 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 1:1 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
20.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 2:0 Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
05.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 2:1 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.4 Conceded
11 Points
VfB Stuttgart
L W W L D
13.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 1:2 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
05.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 4:0 VfL BochumVfL Bochum
26.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 2:1 Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
19.10 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 0:4 BavariyaBavariya
06.10 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 1:1 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points