Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.

Bundesliga Germany

23.08.2025 13:30 UTC Match prediction

23.08.2025 13:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

Union Berlin - VfB Stuttgart

Germany Football

Union Berlin

2 : 1

Finished

VfB Stuttgart

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Union Berlin - VfB Stuttgart August 23, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like VfB Stuttgart.

Line favourite market consensus: VfB Stuttgart. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.72 / X 3.70 / 2 1.95
1X2 market: Union Berlin 25.6% / X 25.7% / VfB Stuttgart 48.8%
Total 2.5: over probability 57.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%

1 25.6%

X 25.7%

2 48.8%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.1%

Over 2.5 57.3%

Under 2.5 42.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center

Start 23.08.2025 13:30 UTC

Match center

Union Berlin - VfB Stuttgart

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.95 market consensus · line only

X 3.71 market consensus · line only

1 3.73 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.28 market consensus · line only

12 1.27 market consensus · line only

1X 1.86 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.30 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.09 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 1.94 market consensus · line only

2 +1 2.65 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.66 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.23 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.31 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.57 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	3.90 25.6%
X	3.84 26.0%
	1.95 51.3%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	3.65 27.4%	3.75 26.7%	3.81 26.3%	3.50 28.6%	3.75 26.7%	3.85 26.0%
X	3.70 27.0%	3.80 26.3%	3.88 25.8%	3.50 28.6%	3.80 26.3%	3.70 27.0%
	1.94 51.6%	1.95 51.3%	2.02 49.5%	1.95 51.3%	1.91 52.4%	1.93 51.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.30 43.5%	2.44 41.0%	2.30 43.5%	2.30 43.5%	2.25 44.4%	2.32 43.1%	2.30 43.5%	2.27 44.1%	2.41 41.5%
yes	1.55 64.5%	1.56 64.1%	1.56 64.1%	1.57 63.7%	1.57 63.7%	1.57 63.7%	1.57 63.7%	1.56 64.1%	1.60 62.5%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.28 78.1%	1.31 76.3%	1.30 76.9%	1.25 80.0%	1.28 78.1%	1.30 76.9%
home_away	1.22 82.0%	1.30 76.9%	1.29 77.5%	1.25 80.0%	1.27 78.7%	1.29 77.5%
home_draw	1.83 54.6%	1.88 53.2%	1.80 55.6%	1.83 54.6%	1.91 52.4%	1.88 53.2%

Match center

Union Berlin

W L D D D

17.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Union Berlin 2:1 FC Augsburg

10.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Union Berlin 0:3 1. FC Heidenheim

03.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Union Berlin 2:2 Werder Bremen

27.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Union Berlin 1:1 VfL Bochum

19.04 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

Union Berlin 4:4 VfB Stuttgart

1 Wins

3 Draws

1 Losses

1.8 Scored

2.2 Conceded

6 Points

VfB Stuttgart

W W W L D

17.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart 3:2 RB Leipzig

11.05 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart 4:0 FC Augsburg

03.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart 1:0 FC St. Pauli

25.04 18:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart 0:1 1. FC Heidenheim

19.04 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart 4:4 Union Berlin

3 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

2.4 Scored

1.4 Conceded

10 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyUnion Berlin - VfB Stuttgart

Union Berlin

1 matches total

VfB Stuttgart

Union Berlin: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (100%)

VfB Stuttgart: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 8 goals (4:4, 19.04 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 4:4 (19.04 16:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

4 Goals scored 4

4 Goals conceded 4

Match history

19.04 16:30 UTC

Bundesliga

Union Berlin

4:4

VfB Stuttgart