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Bundesliga Germany

08.03.2026 16:30 UTC Match prediction

08.03.2026 16:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

Union Berlin - Werder Bremen

Germany Football

Union Berlin

1 : 4

Finished

Werder Bremen

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Union Berlin - Werder Bremen March 8, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Union Berlin.

Line favourite market consensus: Union Berlin. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.40 / X 3.17 / 2 3.13
1X2 market: Union Berlin 39.6% / X 30.0% / Werder Bremen 30.4%
Total 2.5: over probability 55.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%

1 39.6%

X 30.0%

2 30.4%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%

Over 2.5 44.4%

Under 2.5 55.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 08.03.2026 16:30 UTC

Match center

Union Berlin - Werder Bremen

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.13 market consensus · line only

X 3.17 market consensus · line only

1 2.41 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.58 market consensus · line only

12 1.35 market consensus · line only

1X 1.37 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.60 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.25 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.04 market consensus · line only

2 +1 5.68 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.15 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.72 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.92 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.84 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.46 40.7%
X	3.22 31.1%
	3.22 31.1%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	2.34 42.7%	2.40 41.7%	2.48 40.3%	2.30 43.5%	2.40 41.7%	2.42 41.3%
X	3.15 31.8%	3.25 30.8%	3.29 30.4%	3.10 32.3%	3.25 30.8%	3.10 32.3%
	3.10 32.3%	3.15 31.8%	3.25 30.8%	3.00 33.3%	3.10 32.3%	3.15 31.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	1.91 52.4%	1.97 50.8%	1.90 52.6%	1.91 52.4%	1.91 52.4%	1.91 52.4%	1.87 53.5%	1.88 53.2%	1.97 50.8%
yes	1.83 54.6%	1.85 54.1%	1.82 55.0%	1.80 55.6%	1.91 52.4%	1.82 55.0%	1.87 53.5%	1.82 55.0%	1.90 52.6%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.57 63.7%	1.61 62.1%	1.62 61.7%	1.53 65.4%	1.60 62.5%	1.53 65.4%
home_away	1.30 76.9%	1.38 72.5%	1.33 75.2%	1.33 75.2%	1.35 74.1%	1.30 76.9%
home_draw	1.36 73.5%	1.39 71.9%	1.36 73.5%	1.36 73.5%	1.38 72.5%	1.36 73.5%

Match center

Union Berlin

L W L D L

28.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Union Berlin 0:1 Borussia Mönchengladbach

21.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Union Berlin 1:0 Bayer Leverkusen

14.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Union Berlin 2:3 Hamburger SV

06.02 19:30 UTC Bundesliga

Union Berlin 1:1 Eintracht Frankfurt

31.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Union Berlin 1:3 1899 Hoffenheim

1 Wins

1 Draws

3 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.6 Conceded

4 Points

Werder Bremen

W L L L D

28.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Werder Bremen 2:0 1. FC Heidenheim

22.02 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

Werder Bremen 1:2 FC St. Pauli

14.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Werder Bremen 0:3 Bavariya

07.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Werder Bremen 0:1 Frayburg

31.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Werder Bremen 1:1 Borussia Mönchengladbach

1 Wins

1 Draws

3 Losses

0.8 Scored

1.4 Conceded

4 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyUnion Berlin - Werder Bremen

Union Berlin

2 matches total

Werder Bremen

Union Berlin: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (50%)

Werder Bremen: 1 (50%)

Biggest win Werder Bremen 0:1 (24.10 18:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 03.05 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (03.05 13:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 3

3 Goals conceded 2

Match history

24.10 18:30 UTC

Bundesliga

Union Berlin

0:1

Werder Bremen

03.05 13:30 UTC

Bundesliga

Union Berlin

2:2

Werder Bremen