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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
05.10.2025 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

VfB Stuttgart - 1. FC Heidenheim

Germany Football
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
1 : 0
Finished
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction VfB Stuttgart - 1. FC Heidenheim October 5, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like VfB Stuttgart.

Line favourite market consensus: VfB Stuttgart. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.43 / X 5.04 / 2 6.52
  • 1X2 market: VfB Stuttgart 66.5% / X 18.9% / 1. FC Heidenheim 14.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 67.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 66.5%
X 18.9%
2 14.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.5%
Over 2.5 67.5%
Under 2.5 32.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.10.2025 13:30 UTC
Match center

VfB Stuttgart - 1. FC Heidenheim

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.53 market consensus · line only
X 5.05 market consensus · line only
1 1.43 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.84 market consensus · line only
12 1.18 market consensus · line only
1X 1.12 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.87 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.27 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 6.00 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.43 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.39 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.89 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.32 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.57 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.44 69.4%
X 5.23 19.1%
6.68 15.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.42 70.4% 1.43 69.9% 1.47 68.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.47 68.0%
X 5.00 20.0% 5.20 19.2% 5.25 19.1% 4.80 20.8% 4.75 21.1% 5.00 20.0%
6.40 15.6% 6.60 15.2% 6.89 14.5% 6.00 16.7% 6.50 15.4% 6.80 14.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.30 43.5% 2.19 45.7% 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.25 44.4% 2.35 42.6% 2.38 42.0% 2.27 44.1% 2.46 40.7%
yes 1.55 64.5% 1.69 59.2% 1.56 64.1% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.56 64.1% 1.60 62.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.80 35.7% 2.89 34.6% 2.80 35.7% 2.62 38.2% 2.82 35.5% 2.93 34.1%
home_away 1.12 89.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.18 84.8% 1.18 84.8% 1.19 84.0%
home_draw 1.11 90.1% 1.12 89.3% 1.13 88.5% 1.11 90.1% 1.14 87.7% 1.13 88.5%
Match center
VfB Stuttgart
W W L W L
28.09 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 2:1 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
19.09 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 2:0 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
13.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 1:3 FrayburgFrayburg
30.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 1:0 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
23.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 1:2 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
9 Points
1. FC Heidenheim
W L L L L
27.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 2:1 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
20.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 1:2 Hamburger SVHamburger SV
13.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 0:2 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
30.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 0:2 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
23.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 1:3 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
0.8 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyVfB Stuttgart - 1. FC Heidenheim

VfB Stuttgart
1 matches total
1. FC Heidenheim
VfB Stuttgart: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
1. FC Heidenheim: 1 (100%)
Biggest win 1. FC Heidenheim 0:1 (25.04 18:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 25.04 18:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

25.04 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart
0:1
1. FC Heidenheim