Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.

Bundesliga Germany

14.02.2026 17:30 UTC Match prediction

14.02.2026 17:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart - 1. FC Köln

Germany Football

VfB Stuttgart

3 : 1

Finished

1. FC Köln

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction VfB Stuttgart - 1. FC Köln February 14, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like VfB Stuttgart.

Line favourite market consensus: VfB Stuttgart. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.46 / X 4.81 / 2 6.18
1X2 market: VfB Stuttgart 64.8% / X 19.8% / 1. FC Köln 15.4%
Total 2.5: over probability 66.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%

1 64.9%

X 19.7%

2 15.3%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.4%

Over 2.5 66.2%

Under 2.5 33.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center

Start 14.02.2026 17:30 UTC

Match center

VfB Stuttgart - 1. FC Köln

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 6.19 market consensus · line only

X 4.82 market consensus · line only

1 1.46 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.70 market consensus · line only

12 1.18 market consensus · line only

1X 1.13 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.69 market consensus · line only

2 -1 2.17 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 5.52 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.46 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.42 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.78 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.37 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.55 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.47 68.0%
X	5.04 19.8%
	6.33 15.8%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.45 69.0%	1.46 68.5%	1.50 66.7%	1.44 69.4%	1.45 69.0%	1.52 65.8%
X	4.60 21.7%	5.00 20.0%	5.03 19.9%	4.50 22.2%	4.75 21.1%	4.90 20.4%
	6.20 16.1%	6.30 15.9%	6.60 15.2%	5.75 17.4%	6.25 16.0%	6.10 16.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.40 41.7%	2.41 41.5%	2.32 43.1%	2.40 41.7%	2.25 44.4%	2.40 41.7%	2.38 42.0%	2.29 43.7%	2.43 41.2%
yes	1.53 65.4%	1.57 63.7%	1.55 64.5%	1.53 65.4%	1.57 63.7%	1.53 65.4%	1.53 65.4%	1.55 64.5%	1.61 62.1%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	2.62 38.2%	2.77 36.1%	2.63 38.0%	2.62 38.2%	2.65 37.7%	2.63 38.0%
home_away	1.14 87.7%	1.21 82.6%	1.18 84.8%	1.18 84.8%	1.19 84.0%	1.14 87.7%
home_draw	1.11 90.1%	1.14 87.7%	1.13 88.5%	1.12 89.3%	1.16 86.2%	1.10 90.9%

Match center

VfB Stuttgart

L W W D W

07.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart 1:2 FC St. Pauli

01.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart 1:0 Frayburg

25.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart 3:0 Borussia Mönchengladbach

18.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart 1:1 Union Berlin

13.01 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart 3:2 Eintracht Frankfurt

3 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

1.8 Scored

1.0 Conceded

10 Points

1. FC Köln

L W L W L

08.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1. FC Köln 1:2 RB Leipzig

30.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga

1. FC Köln 1:0 VfL Wolfsburg

25.01 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

1. FC Köln 1:2 Frayburg

17.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1. FC Köln 2:1 Maynts

14.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga

1. FC Köln 1:3 Bavariya

2 Wins

0 Draws

3 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.6 Conceded

6 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyVfB Stuttgart - 1. FC Köln

VfB Stuttgart

1 matches total

1. FC Köln

VfB Stuttgart: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

1. FC Köln: 0 (0%)

Biggest win VfB Stuttgart 2:1 (28.09 15:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 28.09 15:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 2

Match history

28.09 15:30 UTC

Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart

2:1

1. FC Köln