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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
19.09.2025 18:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

VfB Stuttgart - FC St. Pauli

Germany Football
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
2 : 0
Finished
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli

VfB Stuttgart meet FC St. Pauli on September 19, 2025 in the Bundesliga, Germany.

Recent form (W-D-L): VfB Stuttgart 3-0-2, FC St. Pauli 2-2-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The market favourite is VfB Stuttgart at roughly 54%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction VfB Stuttgart - FC St. Pauli September 19, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like VfB Stuttgart.

Line favourite market consensus: VfB Stuttgart. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.78 / X 3.99 / 2 4.23
  • 1X2 market: VfB Stuttgart 53.6% / X 23.9% / FC St. Pauli 22.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.4% 15 books · best price +4.5%
1 53.6%
X 23.8%
2 22.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 57.2%
Under 2.5 42.8%

Odds source: consensus of 15 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 19.09.2025 18:30 UTC
Market 1 53.6% @ 1.78 / X 23.9% @ 3.99 / 2 22.5% @ 4.23
Match center

VfB Stuttgart - FC St. Pauli

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.24 market consensus · line only
X 4.00 market consensus · line only
1 1.78 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.06 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 1.23 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.09 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.63 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.00 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.90 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.23 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.21 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.64 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.81 55.3%
X 4.07 24.6%
4.31 23.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.77 56.5% 1.79 55.9% 1.84 54.4% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.85 54.1%
X 3.90 25.6% 4.05 24.7% 4.15 24.1% 3.80 26.3% 4.20 23.8% 4.05 24.7%
4.20 23.8% 4.20 23.8% 4.36 22.9% 4.00 25.0% 4.33 23.1% 4.20 23.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Dafabet Marathonbet
no 2.25 44.4% 2.34 42.7% 2.19 45.7% 2.25 44.4% 2.05 48.8% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.07 48.3% 2.16 46.3%
yes 1.57 63.7% 1.61 62.1% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.76 56.8% 1.62 61.7%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Dafabet
draw_away 2.00 50.0% 2.08 48.1% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.02 49.5% 2.12 47.2%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.27 78.7% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.24 80.7%
home_draw 1.22 82.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.26 79.4% 1.19 84.0%
Match center
VfB Stuttgart
L W L W W
13.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 1:3 FrayburgFrayburg
30.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 1:0 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
23.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 1:2 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
17.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 3:2 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
11.05 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 4:0 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
9 Points
FC St. Pauli
W W D L D
14.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 2:1 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
29.08 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 2:0 Hamburger SVHamburger SV
23.08 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 3:3 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
17.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 0:2 VfL BochumVfL Bochum
11.05 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 2:2 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyVfB Stuttgart - FC St. Pauli

VfB Stuttgart
1 matches total
FC St. Pauli
VfB Stuttgart: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
FC St. Pauli: 0 (0%)
Biggest win VfB Stuttgart 1:0 (03.05 13:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 03.05 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

03.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart
1:0
FC St. Pauli