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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
26.10.2025 16:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

VfB Stuttgart - FSV Mainz 05

Germany Football
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
2 : 1
Finished
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05

VfB Stuttgart go head-to-head with FSV Mainz 05 on October 26, 2025 in the Bundesliga, Germany.

Recent form (W-D-L): VfB Stuttgart 4-0-1, FSV Mainz 05 1-0-4. The market favourite is VfB Stuttgart at roughly 47%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction VfB Stuttgart - FSV Mainz 05 October 26, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like VfB Stuttgart.

Line favourite market consensus: VfB Stuttgart. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.04 / X 3.70 / 2 3.51
  • 1X2 market: VfB Stuttgart 46.8% / X 25.8% / FSV Mainz 05 27.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.5% 15 books · best price +1.9%
1 46.1%
X 26.1%
2 27.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.2%
Over 2.5 57.9%
Under 2.5 42.1%

Odds source: consensus of 15 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 26.10.2025 16:30 UTC
Market 1 46.9% @ 2.04 / X 25.9% @ 3.70 / 2 27.3% @ 3.51
Match center

VfB Stuttgart - FSV Mainz 05

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.51 market consensus · line only
X 3.69 market consensus · line only
1 2.04 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.77 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.32 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.84 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.43 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.40 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.95 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.26 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.41 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.54 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.11 47.4%
X 3.66 27.3%
3.57 28.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.10 47.6% 2.12 47.2% 2.14 46.7% 2.00 50.0% 1.80 55.6% 2.12 47.2%
X 3.55 28.2% 3.75 26.7% 3.78 26.5% 3.60 27.8% 4.00 25.0% 3.60 27.8%
3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.51 28.5% 3.30 30.3% 4.10 24.4% 3.60 27.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.38 42.0% 2.39 41.8% 2.40 41.7% 2.38 42.0% 2.25 44.4% 2.37 42.2% 2.63 38.0% 2.39 41.8% 2.48 40.3%
yes 1.53 65.4% 1.59 62.9% 1.52 65.8% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.44 69.4% 1.51 66.2% 1.58 63.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.77 56.5% 1.79 55.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.78 56.2%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.31 76.3%
home_draw 1.30 76.9% 1.35 74.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.35 74.1%
Match center
VfB Stuttgart
W W W W L
18.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 3:0 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
05.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 1:0 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
28.09 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 2:1 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
19.09 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 2:0 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
13.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 1:3 FrayburgFrayburg
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
12 Points
FSV Mainz 05
L L L W L
18.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 3:4 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
05.10 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 0:4 Hamburger SVHamburger SV
27.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 0:2 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
20.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 4:1 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
13.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 0:1 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.4 Conceded
3 Points