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Bundesliga Germany

01.02.2026 14:30 UTC Match prediction

01.02.2026 14:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart - SC Freiburg

Germany Football

VfB Stuttgart

1 : 0

Finished

SC Freiburg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction VfB Stuttgart - SC Freiburg February 1, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like VfB Stuttgart.

Line favourite market consensus: VfB Stuttgart. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.66 / X 4.13 / 2 4.87
1X2 market: VfB Stuttgart 57.3% / X 23.1% / SC Freiburg 19.6%
Total 2.5: over probability 59.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%

1 57.4%

X 23.1%

2 19.6%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%

Over 2.5 59.0%

Under 2.5 41.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 01.02.2026 14:30 UTC

Match center

VfB Stuttgart - SC Freiburg

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 4.88 market consensus · line only

X 4.13 market consensus · line only

1 1.66 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.24 market consensus · line only

12 1.23 market consensus · line only

1X 1.19 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.27 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.75 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 4.47 market consensus · line only

2 +1 9.80 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.62 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.33 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.22 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.62 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.67 59.9%
X	4.27 23.4%
	5.00 20.0%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.63 61.4%	1.64 61.0%	1.70 58.8%	1.67 59.9%	1.65 60.6%	1.70 58.8%
X	3.95 25.3%	4.20 23.8%	4.36 22.9%	3.90 25.6%	4.10 24.4%	4.20 23.8%
	4.90 20.4%	5.10 19.6%	5.07 19.7%	4.50 22.2%	5.00 20.0%	5.00 20.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.20 45.5%	2.27 44.1%	2.20 45.5%	2.20 45.5%	2.10 47.6%	2.22 45.1%	2.25 44.4%	2.17 46.1%	2.31 43.3%
yes	1.62 61.7%	1.64 61.0%	1.61 62.1%	1.62 61.7%	1.67 59.9%	1.62 61.7%	1.60 62.5%	1.61 62.1%	1.66 60.2%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	2.20 45.5%	2.29 43.7%	2.10 47.6%	2.20 45.5%	2.25 44.4%	2.32 43.1%
home_away	1.18 84.8%	1.25 80.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.23 81.3%	1.26 79.4%
home_draw	1.17 85.5%	1.21 82.6%	1.20 83.3%	1.17 85.5%	1.21 82.6%	1.21 82.6%