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Bundesliga Germany

18.01.2026 14:30 UTC Match prediction

18.01.2026 14:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart - Union Berlin

Germany Football

VfB Stuttgart

1 : 1

Finished

Union Berlin

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction VfB Stuttgart - Union Berlin January 18, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like VfB Stuttgart.

Line favourite market consensus: VfB Stuttgart. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.58 / X 4.16 / 2 5.65
1X2 market: VfB Stuttgart 60.2% / X 22.9% / Union Berlin 16.9%
Total 2.5: over probability 55.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%

1 60.3%

X 22.9%

2 16.9%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.4%

Over 2.5 55.7%

Under 2.5 44.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 18.01.2026 14:30 UTC

Match center

VfB Stuttgart - Union Berlin

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 5.68 market consensus · line only

X 4.17 market consensus · line only

1 1.58 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.40 market consensus · line only

12 1.23 market consensus · line only

1X 1.15 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.40 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.90 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 4.98 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.58 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.72 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.16 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.04 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.74 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.58 63.3%
X	4.24 23.6%
	6.03 16.6%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.58 63.3%	1.56 64.1%	1.62 61.7%	1.57 63.7%	1.55 64.5%	1.62 61.7%
X	4.20 23.8%	4.30 23.3%	4.37 22.9%	3.90 25.6%	4.20 23.8%	4.25 23.5%
	5.40 18.5%	6.00 16.7%	5.94 16.8%	5.00 20.0%	5.75 17.4%	5.80 17.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.10 47.6%	2.10 47.6%	2.00 50.0%	2.05 48.8%	2.00 50.0%	2.05 48.8%	2.00 50.0%	1.98 50.5%	2.08 48.1%
yes	1.70 58.8%	1.74 57.5%	1.74 57.5%	1.70 58.8%	1.75 57.1%	1.72 58.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.74 57.5%	1.81 55.3%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	2.35 42.6%	2.46 40.7%	2.30 43.5%	2.38 42.0%	2.40 41.7%	2.45 40.8%
home_away	1.18 84.8%	1.25 80.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.23 81.3%	1.25 80.0%
home_draw	1.15 87.0%	1.17 85.5%	1.15 87.0%	1.14 87.7%	1.17 85.5%	1.16 86.2%

Match center

VfB Stuttgart

W W D W L

13.01 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart 3:2 Eintracht Frankfurt

10.01 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart 4:1 Bayer Leverkusen

20.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart 0:0 1899 Hoffenheim

14.12 18:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart 4:0 Werder Bremen

06.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart 0:5 Bavariya

3 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

2.2 Scored

1.6 Conceded

10 Points

Union Berlin

D D W W L

15.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga

Union Berlin 1:1 FC Augsburg

10.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Union Berlin 2:2 Maynts

20.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Union Berlin 1:0 1. FC Köln

12.12 19:30 UTC Bundesliga

Union Berlin 3:1 RB Leipzig

06.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Union Berlin 1:3 VfL Wolfsburg

2 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

1.6 Scored

1.4 Conceded

8 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyVfB Stuttgart - Union Berlin

VfB Stuttgart

2 matches total

Union Berlin

VfB Stuttgart: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (50%)

Union Berlin: 1 (50%)

Biggest win Union Berlin 1:2 (23.08 13:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 8 goals (4:4, 19.04 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 4:4 (19.04 16:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

5 Goals scored 6

6 Goals conceded 5

Match history

23.08 13:30 UTC

Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart

1:2

Union Berlin

19.04 16:30 UTC

Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart

4:4

Union Berlin