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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
17.01.2026 14:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

VfL Wolfsburg - 1. FC Heidenheim

Germany Football
VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg
1 : 1
Finished
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction VfL Wolfsburg - 1. FC Heidenheim January 17, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like VfL Wolfsburg.

Line favourite market consensus: VfL Wolfsburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.67 / X 4.12 / 2 4.87
  • 1X2 market: VfL Wolfsburg 57.3% / X 23.1% / 1. FC Heidenheim 19.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 57.2%
X 23.2%
2 19.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.3%
Over 2.5 61.1%
Under 2.5 38.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 17.01.2026 14:30 UTC
Match center

VfL Wolfsburg - 1. FC Heidenheim

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.88 market consensus · line only
X 4.13 market consensus · line only
1 1.67 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.23 market consensus · line only
12 1.24 market consensus · line only
1X 1.19 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.26 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.77 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.52 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.60 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.54 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.42 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.30 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.58 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.68 59.5%
X 4.15 24.1%
5.10 19.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.64 61.0% 1.65 60.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.70 58.8%
X 4.10 24.4% 4.20 23.8% 4.32 23.2% 3.90 25.6% 4.20 23.8% 4.10 24.4%
4.85 20.6% 5.00 20.0% 4.72 21.2% 4.50 22.2% 4.75 21.1% 5.20 19.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.35 42.6% 2.48 40.3% 2.17 46.1% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.37 42.2% 2.30 43.5% 2.14 46.7% 2.46 40.7%
yes 1.55 64.5% 1.55 64.5% 1.63 61.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.63 61.4% 1.59 62.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.23 44.8%
home_away 1.18 84.8% 1.26 79.4% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.26 79.4%
home_draw 1.18 84.8% 1.23 81.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3% 1.23 81.3%
Match center
VfL Wolfsburg
W L L W W
14.01 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 2:1 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
11.01 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 1:8 BavariyaBavariya
20.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 3:4 FrayburgFrayburg
13.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 3:1 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
06.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 3:1 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.4 Scored
3.0 Conceded
9 Points
1. FC Heidenheim
L D L L W
13.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 1:2 MayntsMaynts
10.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 2:2 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
21.12 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 0:4 BavariyaBavariya
13.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 1:2 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
06.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 2:1 FrayburgFrayburg
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
2.2 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyVfL Wolfsburg - 1. FC Heidenheim

VfL Wolfsburg
1 matches total
1. FC Heidenheim
VfL Wolfsburg: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
1. FC Heidenheim: 0 (0%)
Biggest win VfL Wolfsburg 3:1 (23.08 13:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (3:1, 23.08 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 3

Match history

23.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg
3:1
1. FC Heidenheim