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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
13.09.2025 13:30 UTC Match prediction
13.09.2025 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

VfL Wolfsburg - 1. FC Köln

Germany Football
VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg
3 : 3
Finished
1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction VfL Wolfsburg - 1. FC Köln September 13, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like VfL Wolfsburg.

Line favourite market consensus: VfL Wolfsburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.00 / X 3.60 / 2 3.60
  • 1X2 market: VfL Wolfsburg 47.4% / X 26.3% / 1. FC Köln 26.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.6%
1 47.4%
X 26.3%
2 26.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.6%
Over 2.5 52.6%
Under 2.5 47.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 13.09.2025 13:30 UTC
Match center

VfL Wolfsburg - 1. FC Köln

Form 5/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.60 market consensus · line only
X 3.60 market consensus · line only
1 2.00 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.80 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.28 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.42 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.45 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.80 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.00 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.10 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.67 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.00 50.0%
X 3.60 27.8%
3.60 27.8%

Match Winner

Outcome Bet365 SStats Consensus
2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0%
X 3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8%
3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome Bet365
no 2.10 47.6%
yes 1.67 59.9%

Double chance

Outcome Bet365 SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1%
Match center
VfL Wolfsburg
D W W D L
31.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 1:1 MayntsMaynts
23.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 3:1 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
17.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 1:0 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
09.05 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 2:2 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
03.05 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 0:4 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
8 Points
1. FC Köln
W W
31.08 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 4:1 FrayburgFrayburg
24.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 1:0 MayntsMaynts
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.5 Scored
0.5 Conceded
6 Points