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Bundesliga Germany

31.08.2025 13:30 UTC Match prediction

31.08.2025 13:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg - FSV Mainz 05

Germany Football

VfL Wolfsburg

1 : 1

Finished

FSV Mainz 05

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction VfL Wolfsburg - FSV Mainz 05 August 31, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like VfL Wolfsburg.

Line favourite market consensus: VfL Wolfsburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.17 / X 3.50 / 2 3.23
1X2 market: VfL Wolfsburg 43.6% / X 27.1% / FSV Mainz 05 29.3%
Total 2.5: over probability 54.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.6%

1 43.6%

X 27.1%

2 29.3%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%

Over 2.5 54.7%

Under 2.5 45.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 31.08.2025 13:30 UTC

Match center

VfL Wolfsburg - FSV Mainz 05

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.23 market consensus · line only

X 3.50 market consensus · line only

1 2.17 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.70 market consensus · line only

12 1.30 market consensus · line only

1X 1.35 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.74 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.35 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.17 market consensus · line only

2 +1 5.47 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.75 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.11 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.25 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.61 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.24 44.6%
X	3.59 27.9%
	3.31 30.2%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	2.14 46.7%	2.20 45.5%	2.19 45.7%	2.15 46.5%	2.15 46.5%	2.18 45.9%
X	3.50 28.6%	3.60 27.8%	3.57 28.0%	3.40 29.4%	3.50 28.6%	3.55 28.2%
	3.25 30.8%	3.25 30.8%	3.26 30.7%	3.10 32.3%	3.20 31.3%	3.25 30.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.25 44.4%	2.32 43.1%	2.34 42.7%	2.25 44.4%	2.20 45.5%	2.25 44.4%	2.20 45.5%	2.19 45.7%	2.33 42.9%
yes	1.57 63.7%	1.61 62.1%	1.60 62.5%	1.62 61.7%	1.62 61.7%	1.60 62.5%	1.57 63.7%	1.60 62.5%	1.63 61.4%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.67 59.9%	1.70 58.8%	1.67 59.9%	1.67 59.9%	1.72 58.1%	1.72 58.1%
home_away	1.25 80.0%	1.31 76.3%	1.30 76.9%	1.28 78.1%	1.29 77.5%	1.32 75.8%
home_draw	1.33 75.2%	1.36 73.5%	1.33 75.2%	1.36 73.5%	1.37 73.0%	1.36 73.5%