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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
11.04.2025 18:30 UTC Match prediction
11.04.2025 18:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

VfL Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig

Germany Football
VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg
2 : 3
Finished
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction VfL Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig April 11, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like RB Leipzig.

Line favourite market consensus: RB Leipzig. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.99 / X 3.74 / 2 2.35
  • 1X2 market: VfL Wolfsburg 32.6% / X 26.0% / RB Leipzig 41.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.7%
1 32.6%
X 26.0%
2 41.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 11.04.2025 18:30 UTC
Match center

VfL Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.35 market consensus · line only
X 3.74 market consensus · line only
1 2.99 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.44 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.63 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.99 33.4%
X 3.74 26.7%
2.35 42.6%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.44 69.4%
home_away 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.63 61.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 3.5 2.45 40.8%
Under 3.5 1.60 62.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.20 45.5%
1.72 58.1%
Match center
VfL Wolfsburg
L D L W D
06.04 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 0:1 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
26.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 0:0 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
20.10 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 2:4 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
05.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 3:1 VfL BochumVfL Bochum
28.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 2:2 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
5 Points
RB Leipzig
W W W W W
05.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 3:1 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
26.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 3:1 FrayburgFrayburg
19.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 2:0 MayntsMaynts
06.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 1:0 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
28.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 4:0 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
5 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.6 Scored
0.4 Conceded
15 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyVfL Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig

VfL Wolfsburg
0 matches total
RB Leipzig
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history