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Bundesliga Germany

27.09.2025 13:30 UTC Match prediction

27.09.2025 13:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig

Germany Football

VfL Wolfsburg

0 : 1

Finished

RB Leipzig

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction VfL Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig September 27, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like VfL Wolfsburg.

Line favourite market consensus: VfL Wolfsburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.56 / X 3.67 / 2 2.58
1X2 market: VfL Wolfsburg 37.1% / X 25.9% / RB Leipzig 36.9%
Total 2.5: over probability 63.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%

1 37.2%

X 25.9%

2 36.9%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.7%

Over 2.5 63.1%

Under 2.5 36.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 27.09.2025 13:30 UTC

Match center

VfL Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.58 market consensus · line only

X 3.67 market consensus · line only

1 2.57 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.52 market consensus · line only

12 1.28 market consensus · line only

1X 1.51 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.54 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.24 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.60 market consensus · line only

2 +1 3.92 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.50 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.56 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.72 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.43 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.66 37.6%
X	3.75 26.7%
	2.59 38.6%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	2.54 39.4%	2.56 39.1%	2.68 37.3%	2.50 40.0%	2.55 39.2%	2.50 40.0%
X	3.60 27.8%	3.75 26.7%	3.84 26.0%	3.60 27.8%	3.60 27.8%	3.65 27.4%
	2.58 38.8%	2.56 39.1%	2.62 38.2%	2.50 40.0%	2.55 39.2%	2.67 37.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.70 37.0%	2.86 35.0%	2.73 36.6%	2.63 38.0%	2.62 38.2%	2.72 36.8%	2.80 35.7%	2.69 37.2%	2.91 34.4%
yes	1.40 71.4%	1.43 69.9%	1.41 70.9%	1.44 69.4%	1.44 69.4%	1.42 70.4%	1.40 71.4%	1.41 70.9%	1.45 69.0%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.50 66.7%	1.53 65.4%	1.53 65.4%	1.50 66.7%	1.57 63.7%	1.53 65.4%
home_away	1.22 82.0%	1.31 76.3%	1.25 80.0%	1.28 78.1%	1.28 78.1%	1.30 76.9%
home_draw	1.48 67.6%	1.55 64.5%	1.50 66.7%	1.50 66.7%	1.50 66.7%	1.55 64.5%

Match center

VfL Wolfsburg

L D D W W

21.09 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg 0:1 Borussia Dortmund

13.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg 3:3 1. FC Köln

31.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg 1:1 Maynts

23.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg 3:1 1. FC Heidenheim

17.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg 1:0 Borussia Mönchengladbach

2 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

1.6 Scored

1.2 Conceded

8 Points

RB Leipzig

W W W L L

20.09 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

RB Leipzig 3:1 1. FC Köln

13.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

RB Leipzig 1:0 Maynts

30.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

RB Leipzig 2:0 1. FC Heidenheim

22.08 18:30 UTC Bundesliga

RB Leipzig 0:6 Bavariya

17.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

RB Leipzig 2:3 VfB Stuttgart

3 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

1.6 Scored

2.0 Conceded

9 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyVfL Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig

VfL Wolfsburg

1 matches total

RB Leipzig

VfL Wolfsburg: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

RB Leipzig: 1 (100%)

Biggest win RB Leipzig 2:3 (11.04 18:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 5 goals (2:3, 11.04 18:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 3

3 Goals conceded 2

Match history

11.04 18:30 UTC

Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg

2:3

RB Leipzig