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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
26.04.2025 13:30 UTC Match prediction
26.04.2025 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

VfL Wolfsburg - SC Freiburg

Germany Football
VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg
0 : 1
Finished
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction VfL Wolfsburg - SC Freiburg April 26, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like VfL Wolfsburg.

Line favourite market consensus: VfL Wolfsburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.54 / X 3.62 / 2 2.80
  • 1X2 market: VfL Wolfsburg 38.3% / X 26.9% / SC Freiburg 34.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.7%
1 38.3%
X 26.9%
2 34.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.9%
Over 2.5 55.8%
Under 2.5 44.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 26.04.2025 13:30 UTC
Match center

VfL Wolfsburg - SC Freiburg

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.80 market consensus · line only
X 3.62 market consensus · line only
1 2.54 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.57 market consensus · line only
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.49 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.20 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.54 39.4%
X 3.62 27.6%
2.80 35.7%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.57 63.7%
home_away 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.49 67.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.74 57.5%
Under 2.5 2.20 45.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.85 54.1%
2.02 49.5%
Match center
VfL Wolfsburg
D L L D L
19.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 2:2 MayntsMaynts
11.04 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 2:3 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
06.04 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 0:1 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
26.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 0:0 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
20.10 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 2:4 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
2.0 Conceded
2 Points
SC Freiburg
W W L L W
19.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 3:2 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
12.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 2:1 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
05.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 1:4 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
26.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 1:3 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
19.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 3:1 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.2 Conceded
9 Points