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Bundesliga Germany

20.12.2025 14:30 UTC Match prediction

20.12.2025 14:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg - SC Freiburg

Germany Football

VfL Wolfsburg

3 : 4

Finished

SC Freiburg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction VfL Wolfsburg - SC Freiburg December 20, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like VfL Wolfsburg.

Line favourite market consensus: VfL Wolfsburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.53 / X 3.45 / 2 2.73
1X2 market: VfL Wolfsburg 37.6% / X 27.6% / SC Freiburg 34.8%
Total 2.5: over probability 52.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%

1 37.6%

X 27.6%

2 34.8%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%

Over 2.5 52.6%

Under 2.5 47.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 20.12.2025 14:30 UTC

Match center

VfL Wolfsburg - SC Freiburg

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.73 market consensus · line only

X 3.45 market consensus · line only

1 2.53 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.53 market consensus · line only

12 1.31 market consensus · line only

1X 1.46 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.54 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.23 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.67 market consensus · line only

2 +1 4.43 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.82 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.02 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.20 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.63 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.60 38.5%
X	3.51 28.5%
	2.79 35.8%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	2.52 39.7%	2.56 39.1%	2.59 38.6%	2.45 40.8%	2.50 40.0%	2.52 39.7%
X	3.40 29.4%	3.55 28.2%	3.64 27.5%	3.30 30.3%	3.50 28.6%	3.45 29.0%
	2.70 37.0%	2.70 37.0%	2.82 35.5%	2.63 38.0%	2.70 37.0%	2.75 36.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.20 45.5%	2.24 44.6%	2.19 45.7%	2.20 45.5%	2.10 47.6%	2.20 45.5%	2.20 45.5%	2.16 46.3%	2.32 43.1%
yes	1.62 61.7%	1.66 60.2%	1.62 61.7%	1.62 61.7%	1.67 59.9%	1.62 61.7%	1.62 61.7%	1.62 61.7%	1.66 60.2%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.50 66.7%	1.56 64.1%	1.50 66.7%	1.50 66.7%	1.55 64.5%	1.57 63.7%
home_away	1.25 80.0%	1.33 75.2%	1.30 76.9%	1.28 78.1%	1.30 76.9%	1.33 75.2%
home_draw	1.45 69.0%	1.49 67.1%	1.44 69.4%	1.44 69.4%	1.47 68.0%	1.50 66.7%