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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
26.10.2024 16:30 UTC Match prediction
26.10.2024 16:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Werder Bremen - Bayer Leverkusen

Germany Football
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
2 : 2
Finished
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Werder Bremen - Bayer Leverkusen October 26, 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayer Leverkusen.

Line favourite market consensus: Bayer Leverkusen. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 6.23 / X 5.13 / 2 1.48
  • 1X2 market: Werder Bremen 15.6% / X 18.9% / Bayer Leverkusen 65.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.1%
1 15.6%
X 18.9%
2 65.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 26.10.2024 16:30 UTC
Match center

Werder Bremen - Bayer Leverkusen

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.48 market consensus · line only
X 5.13 market consensus · line only
1 6.23 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.15 market consensus · line only
12 1.20 market consensus · line only
1X 2.86 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
6.23 16.1%
X 5.13 19.5%
1.48 67.6%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.15 87.0%
home_away 1.20 83.3%
home_draw 2.86 35.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 3.5 2.13 47.0%
Under 3.5 1.78 56.2%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
5.04 19.8%
1.20 83.3%
Match center
Werder Bremen
W L W L W
20.10 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 4:2 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
05.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 0:1 FrayburgFrayburg
29.09 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 4:3 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
21.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 0:5 BavariyaBavariya
15.09 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 2:1 MayntsMaynts
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.4 Conceded
9 Points
Bayer Leverkusen
W D D W W
19.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 2:1 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
05.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 2:2 Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
28.09 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 1:1 BavariyaBavariya
22.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 4:3 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
14.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 4:1 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
2.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
11 Points