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Bundesliga Germany

30.08.2025 13:30 UTC Match prediction

30.08.2025 13:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

Werder Bremen - Bayer Leverkusen

Germany Football

Werder Bremen

3 : 3

Finished

Bayer Leverkusen

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Werder Bremen - Bayer Leverkusen August 30, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayer Leverkusen.

Line favourite market consensus: Bayer Leverkusen. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.57 / X 3.88 / 2 1.96
1X2 market: Werder Bremen 26.8% / X 24.6% / Bayer Leverkusen 48.6%
Total 2.5: over probability 63.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%

1 26.7%

X 24.6%

2 48.7%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.6%

Over 2.5 63.1%

Under 2.5 36.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 30.08.2025 13:30 UTC

Match center

Werder Bremen - Bayer Leverkusen

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.97 market consensus · line only

X 3.88 market consensus · line only

1 3.57 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.31 market consensus · line only

12 1.25 market consensus · line only

1X 1.85 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.33 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.11 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 1.97 market consensus · line only

2 +1 2.68 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.50 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.57 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.62 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.46 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	3.65 27.4%
X	3.92 25.5%
	2.00 50.0%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	3.45 29.0%	3.70 27.0%	3.52 28.4%	3.60 27.8%	3.50 28.6%	3.70 27.0%
X	3.85 26.0%	3.85 26.0%	4.20 23.8%	3.60 27.8%	3.90 25.6%	3.95 25.3%
	1.97 50.8%	1.96 51.0%	2.03 49.3%	1.91 52.4%	1.95 51.3%	2.00 50.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.65 37.7%	2.64 37.9%	2.69 37.2%	2.50 40.0%	2.62 38.2%	2.67 37.5%	2.50 40.0%	2.65 37.7%	2.76 36.2%
yes	1.42 70.4%	1.49 67.1%	1.42 70.4%	1.50 66.7%	1.44 69.4%	1.44 69.4%	1.50 66.7%	1.42 70.4%	1.46 68.5%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.30 76.9%	1.35 74.1%	1.30 76.9%	1.28 78.1%	1.32 75.8%	1.34 74.6%
home_away	1.22 82.0%	1.27 78.7%	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.26 79.4%	1.26 79.4%
home_draw	1.80 55.6%	1.88 53.2%	1.83 54.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.87 53.5%	1.87 53.5%