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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
27.04.2025 15:30 UTC Match prediction
27.04.2025 15:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Werder Bremen - FC St. Pauli

Germany Football
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
0 : 0
Finished
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Werder Bremen - FC St. Pauli April 27, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Werder Bremen.

Line favourite market consensus: Werder Bremen. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.00 / X 3.61 / 2 3.96
  • 1X2 market: Werder Bremen 48.6% / X 26.9% / FC St. Pauli 24.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.0%
1 48.6%
X 26.9%
2 24.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.6%
Over 2.5 51.3%
Under 2.5 48.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 27.04.2025 15:30 UTC
Match center

Werder Bremen - FC St. Pauli

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.96 market consensus · line only
X 3.61 market consensus · line only
1 2.00 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.88 market consensus · line only
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.28 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.90 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.00 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.00 50.0%
X 3.61 27.7%
3.96 25.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.88 53.2%
home_away 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.28 78.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 2.5 2.00 50.0%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.46 68.5%
2.88 34.7%
Match center
Werder Bremen
W W W D W
19.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 1:0 VfL BochumVfL Bochum
13.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 2:1 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
05.04 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 2:0 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
26.10 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 2:2 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
20.10 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 4:2 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
13 Points
FC St. Pauli
D W D D L
20.04 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 1:1 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
12.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 2:1 Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
06.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 1:1 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
26.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 0:0 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
18.10 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 1:2 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points