Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.

Bundesliga Germany

24.10.2025 18:30 UTC Match prediction

24.10.2025 18:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

Werder Bremen - Union Berlin

Germany Football

Werder Bremen

1 : 0

Finished

Union Berlin

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Werder Bremen - Union Berlin October 24, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Werder Bremen.

Line favourite market consensus: Werder Bremen. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.31 / X 3.52 / 2 3.01
1X2 market: Werder Bremen 41.3% / X 27.0% / Union Berlin 31.7%
Total 2.5: over probability 55.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%

1 41.3%

X 27.1%

2 31.7%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.4%

Over 2.5 55.0%

Under 2.5 45.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center

Start 24.10.2025 18:30 UTC

Match center

Werder Bremen - Union Berlin

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.02 market consensus · line only

X 3.52 market consensus · line only

1 2.31 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.63 market consensus · line only

12 1.30 market consensus · line only

1X 1.40 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.65 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.28 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.95 market consensus · line only

2 +1 4.93 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.74 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.13 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.32 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.57 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.37 42.2%
X	3.53 28.3%
	3.11 32.2%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	2.30 43.5%	2.33 42.9%	2.42 41.3%	2.25 44.4%	2.35 42.6%	2.35 42.6%
X	3.60 27.8%	3.50 28.6%	3.65 27.4%	3.40 29.4%	3.60 27.8%	3.55 28.2%
	2.90 34.5%	3.05 32.8%	3.04 32.9%	2.90 34.5%	2.80 35.7%	2.92 34.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.38 42.0%	2.40 41.7%	2.30 43.5%	2.30 43.5%	2.25 44.4%	2.30 43.5%	2.30 43.5%	2.27 44.1%	2.44 41.0%
yes	1.53 65.4%	1.58 63.3%	1.56 64.1%	1.57 63.7%	1.57 63.7%	1.57 63.7%	1.57 63.7%	1.56 64.1%	1.60 62.5%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.62 61.7%	1.63 61.4%	1.62 61.7%	1.57 63.7%	1.62 61.7%	1.63 61.4%
home_away	1.25 80.0%	1.33 75.2%	1.29 77.5%	1.28 78.1%	1.29 77.5%	1.33 75.2%
home_draw	1.38 72.5%	1.44 69.4%	1.40 71.4%	1.40 71.4%	1.44 69.4%	1.43 69.9%

Match center

Werder Bremen

D W L L W

18.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Werder Bremen 2:2 1. FC Heidenheim

04.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Werder Bremen 1:0 FC St. Pauli

26.09 18:30 UTC Bundesliga

Werder Bremen 0:4 Bavariya

20.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Werder Bremen 0:3 Frayburg

14.09 15:30 UTC Bundesliga

Werder Bremen 4:0 Borussia Mönchengladbach

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.4 Scored

1.8 Conceded

7 Points

Union Berlin

W L D W L

17.10 18:30 UTC Bundesliga

Union Berlin 3:1 Borussia Mönchengladbach

04.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Union Berlin 0:2 Bayer Leverkusen

28.09 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

Union Berlin 0:0 Hamburger SV

21.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Union Berlin 4:3 Eintracht Frankfurt

13.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Union Berlin 2:4 1899 Hoffenheim

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.8 Scored

2.0 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyWerder Bremen - Union Berlin

Werder Bremen

1 matches total

Union Berlin

Werder Bremen: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (100%)

Union Berlin: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 03.05 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (03.05 13:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 2

2 Goals conceded 2

Match history

03.05 13:30 UTC

Bundesliga

Werder Bremen

2:2

Union Berlin