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Central American and Caribbean Games. Women. Group stage
Central American and Caribbean Games. Women. Group stage
29.07.2026 21:00 UTC Match prediction
29.07.2026 21:00 UTC
Finished

Central American and Caribbean Games. Women. Group stage

El Salvador (w) - Dominican Republic (w)

Football
E
El Salvador (w)
1 : 0
Finished
D
Dominican Republic (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 El Salvador (w) — 48%

Pure model vs market (1 · El Salvador (w)): model 54% · market 70% Δ −16 pp model estimates below the market

1 · El Salvador (w)47.7%
X · draw25.2%
2 · Dominican Republic (w)27.1%

Model estimate: win El Salvador (w) 47.7%, draw 25.2%, win Dominican Republic (w) 27.1%. Model favourite — El Salvador (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1El Salvador (w) (odds1.64) Score 2:0 confidence 61% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Model backs Salvador (Zh): probability 61% vs 61% on the line (odds 1.64)
  • • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction El Salvador (w) - Dominican Republic (w) July 29, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like El Salvador (w).

Line favourite Fonbet: El Salvador (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.03 / X 7.30 / 2 3.49
  • Glicko: El Salvador (w) 47.7% / X 25.2% / Dominican Republic (w) 27.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 39.4%
1 69.6%
X 9.8%
2 20.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

El Salvador (w) 4 : 2 Dominican Republic (w)
11.89
X3.50
23.49

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

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Match center
Start 29.07.2026 21:00 UTC
Match center

El Salvador (w) - Dominican Republic (w)

Form 2/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
El Salvador (w) 47.3% 47.7% market and model agree
Draw 25.4% 25.2% draw risk
Dominican Republic (w) 27.3% 27.1%
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 47.7% / 25.2% / 27.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,690 / 1,500 El Salvador (w) / Dominican Republic (w)
RD 263 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,165-2,215 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.35 market consensus · no value · model 27.1%
X 7.30 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 47.7%
Double chance
12 1.06 Fonbet · no value · model 74.8%
1X 1.06 Fonbet · no value · model 72.9%
X2 9.00 Fonbet · weak value +370.5% · model 52.3%
Handicap
2 0 4.90 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.12 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 8.00 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Yes 7.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.05 95.2% 2.15 46.5%
yes 7.10 14.1% 1.63 61.4%

Double chance

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
12 1.24 80.7% 1.06 94.3%
1x 1.30 76.9% 1.06 94.3%
x2 1.74 57.5% 9.00 11.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.46 40.7%
X 2.19 45.7%
4.03 24.8%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.68 59.5%
Under 1 2.06 48.5%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

El Salvador (w)WDWWWLWWW
Dominican Republic (w)LWDDLL
Source: ruscore

Odds · 2 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.13 (Betcity) · X 3.6 (Liga Stavok) · 2 3.4 (Liga Stavok)
Bookmaker1X2
Betcity 2.13 3.5 2.9
Liga Stavok 1.94 3.6 3.4
Source: ruscore · line comparison
El Salvador (w)
W D
09.06 19:00 UTC+0 World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies - Women
El Salvador (w) 5:1 Gvatemala (Zh)Gvatemala (Zh)
06.06 00:00 UTC+0 World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies - Women
El Salvador (w) 1:1 Costa Rica (Zh)Costa Rica (Zh)
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
4 Points