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Central American and Caribbean Games. Women. Group stage
Central American and Caribbean Games. Women. Group stage
29.07.2026 21:00 UTC Match prediction
29.07.2026 21:00 UTC
Finished

Central American and Caribbean Games. Women. Group stage

Mexico (w) - Puerto Rico (w)

Football
Mexico (w)
Mexico (w)
1 : 1
Finished
Puerto Rico (w)
Puerto Rico (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Mexico (w) — 87%

1 · Mexico (w) ✓ Pick87.0%
X · draw8.4%
2 · Puerto Rico (w)4.6%

Model estimate: win Mexico (w) 87.0%, draw 8.4%, win Puerto Rico (w) 4.6%. Model favourite — Mexico (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Mexico (w) (odds2.13) Score 1:0 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs Mexico (Zh): probability 50% vs 47% on the line (odds 2.13)
  • • edge over the line +3 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mexico (w) - Puerto Rico (w) July 29, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

  • Glicko: Mexico (w) 87.0% / X 8.4% / Puerto Rico (w) 4.6%

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 2.50 ↑ 23.00
1X2 X 3.60 ↑ 3.95
1X2 2 2.40 ↓ 1.25

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.07.2026 21:00 UTC
Match center

Mexico (w) - Puerto Rico (w)

Form 2/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 87.0% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.599 / LogLoss 2.482
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 87.0% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.599 / LogLoss 2.482
Glicko-2: public filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 87.0% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.599 / LogLoss 2.482
Glicko-2: precision filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 87.0% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.599 / LogLoss 2.482
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Mexico (w) 90.1% 87.0% market and model agree
Draw 7.4% 8.4% draw risk
Puerto Rico (w) 2.5% 4.6%
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 87.0% / 8.4% / 4.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,394 / 1,500 Mexico (w) / Puerto Rico (w)
RD 261 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 872-1,916 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
X 1.20 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 4.30 Fonbet · weak value +274.1% · model 87.0%
Double chance
12 3.75 Fonbet · weak value +243.7% · model 91.6%
1X 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 95.4%
X2 1.17 Fonbet · no value · model 13.0%
Handicap
2 0 6.10 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.08 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.29 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Yes 8.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.03 97.1% 1.27 78.7%
yes 8.50 11.8% 3.40 29.4%

Double chance

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
12 1.03 97.1% 3.75 26.7%
1x — 1.02 98.0%
x2 8.40 11.9% 1.17 85.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.30 76.9%
X 3.50 28.6%
17.50 5.7%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 1.89 52.9%
Under 1.5 1.81 55.3%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

Mexico (w)LWWWWWWDWD
Puerto Rico (w)WWDD
Source: ruscore

Odds · 2 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.05 (Liga Stavok) · X 9.6 (Liga Stavok) · 2 38 (Betcity)
Bookmaker1X2
Betcity 1.04 9 38
Liga Stavok 1.05 9.6 26
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Mexico (w)
L W
09.06 07:00 UTC+0 World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies - Women
Mexico (w) 1:3 Australia (Zh)Australia (Zh)
06.06 07:15 UTC+0 World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies - Women
Mexico (w) 1:0 Australia (Zh)Australia (Zh)
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.5 Conceded
3 Points