Chile. Serie B
Deportes Recoleta take on Puerto Montt on August 2, 2026 in the Chile. Serie B.
Recent form (W-D-L): Deportes Recoleta 0-3-2, Puerto Montt 4-0-1. The bookmaker line makes Deportes Recoleta the favourite at about 44%. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 44% to win — broadly in line with the market. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Deportes Recoleta — 44%
Pure model vs market (1 · Deportes Recoleta): model 41% · market 44% Δ −3 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Deportes Recoleta 44.2%, draw 27.9%, win Puerto Montt 27.9%. Model favourite — Deportes Recoleta.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Deportes Recoleta.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.10 47.6% | 2.06 48.5% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.12 47.2% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.05 48.8% | |
| X | 3.20 31.3% | 3.24 30.9% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.25 30.8% |
| 3.25 30.8% | 3.28 30.5% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.40 29.4% |
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.60 62.5% | 1.86 53.8% |
| yes | 2.20 45.5% | 1.85 54.1% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.23 81.3% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.12 89.3% |
| 1x | 1.19 84.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 4.40 22.7% |
| x2 | 1.78 56.2% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.03 97.1% |
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 0_1 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 0_2 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 0_3 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 0_4 | 81.00 1.2% |
| 1_0 | 6.00 16.7% |
| 1_1 | 5.50 18.2% |
| 1_2 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 1_3 | 23.00 4.4% |
| 1_4 | 67.00 1.5% |
| 2_0 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 2_1 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 2_2 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 2_3 | 31.00 3.2% |
| 2_4 | 76.00 1.3% |
| 3_0 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 3_1 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 3_2 | 23.00 4.4% |
Puerto Montt
Full head-to-head historyDeportes Recoleta - Puerto Montt
The Deportes Recoleta - Puerto Montt breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
