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Chile. Serie A
Chile. Serie A
01.08.2026 19:00 UTC
Finished

Chile. Serie A

Everton VM - Colo Colo

Football
E
Everton VM
3 : 4
Finished
C
Colo Colo

Everton VM take on Colo Colo on August 1, 2026 in the Chile. Serie A.

Recent form (W-D-L): Everton VM 2-2-1, Colo Colo 3-1-1. The bookmaker line makes Colo Colo the favourite at about 47%. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 27% to win — broadly in line with the market. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Colo Colo46%

Pure model vs market (2 · Colo Colo): model 39% · market 47% Δ −8 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Everton VM27.3%
X · draw26.3%
2 · Colo Colo46.3%

Model estimate: win Everton VM 27.3%, draw 26.3%, win Colo Colo 46.3%. Model favourite — Colo Colo.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Colo Colo (odds1.98) Score 0:1 confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct
  • Model backs Kolo: probability 50% vs 51% on the line (odds 1.98)
  • no edge over the line (-1 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Everton VM - Colo Colo August 1, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Colo Colo.

Strongest: Colo Colo - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.50 / X 3.47 / 2 1.99
  • 1X2 market: Everton VM 26.5% / X 26.8% / Colo Colo 46.7%
  • Glicko: Everton VM 27.3% / X 26.3% / Colo Colo 46.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.6%
1 26.5%
X 26.8%
2 46.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera División
League table
Everton VM
#920 ptsGP 175-5-720:21
Colo Colo
#142 ptsGP 1714-0-336:16
Best price across 14 books
1 3.70 Unibet
X 3.66 Pinnacle
2 2.10 Betano

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Everton VM
W-D-L 3-5-2 Scored 1.30 Conceded 1.00 xG 1.15 xGA 1.30 Corners 6.3
Colo Colo
W-D-L 9-0-1 Scored 2.61 Conceded 0.90 xG 1.76 xGA 0.97 Corners 5.4

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Everton VM
Rating 1527 xG 1.07 Win 29%
Colo Colo
Rating 1692 xG 1.41 Win 45%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Everton VM 1 : 2 Colo Colo
13.16
X3.40
22.04

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 19:00 UTC
Market 1 26.5% @ 3.50 / X 26.8% @ 3.47 / 2 46.7% @ 1.99
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Colo Colo 46%
💹 Market Colo Colo 4669%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Everton VM - Colo Colo

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 3:4
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 46.3% fact: away hit / ROI 110.0% / Brier 0.432 / LogLoss 0.769
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 46.3% fact: away hit / ROI 110.0% / Brier 0.432 / LogLoss 0.769
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Everton VM 26.6% 27.3%
Draw 26.6% 26.3% draw risk
Colo Colo 46.8% 46.3% market and model agree
xG - 1.06 : 1.42
1X2: 16 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 27.3% / 26.3% / 46.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,597 / 1,706 Everton VM / Colo Colo
RD 191 / 255 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,216-1,979 / 1,196-2,216 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 46.3%
X 4.90 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 3.50 market consensus · no value · model 27.3%
Double chance
12 1.15 Fonbet · no value · model 73.7%
1X 9.00 Fonbet · weak value +382.9% · model 53.7%
X2 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 72.7%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.93 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.04 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 2.00 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.13 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 5.10 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 3.20 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.30 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
3.50 28.6% 3.46 28.9% 3.50 28.6% 3.75 26.7% 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6%
X 3.45 29.0% 3.45 29.0% 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8% 3.50 28.6%
1.94 51.6% 1.92 52.1% 2.00 50.0% 2.10 47.6% 1.90 52.6% 2.00 50.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 3.20 31.3% 2.14 46.7%
yes 1.30 76.9% 1.66 60.2%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.25 80.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.15 87.0%
1x 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 9.00 11.1%
x2 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.02 98.0%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 9.00 11.1%
0_1 6.50 15.4%
0_2 8.50 11.8%
0_3 15.00 6.7%
0_4 31.00 3.2%
0_5 71.00 1.4%
1_0 9.50 10.5%
1_1 6.00 16.7%
1_2 7.00 14.3%
1_3 12.00 8.3%
1_4 26.00 3.9%
1_5 61.00 1.6%
2_0 17.00 5.9%
2_1 9.50 10.5%
2_2 11.00 9.1%
2_3 19.00 5.3%
2_4 41.00 2.4%
2_5 81.00 1.2%
Match center
Everton VM
D W D L W
2026-07-27 Primera Division 2026
Everton VM Union La Calera 1:1 Everton VM
2026-07-11 Copa Chile 2026, Group B
Everton VM Deportes Copiapo 0:1 Everton VM
2026-07-04 Copa Chile 2026, Group B
Everton VM San Luis Quillota 2:2 Everton VM
2026-07-01 Copa Chile 2026, Group B
Everton VM Universidad Catolica 2:1 Everton VM
2026-06-26 Copa Chile 2026, Group B
Everton VM Everton VM 3:0 Deportes Copiapo
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.0 Conceded
8 Points
Colo Colo
W W D L W
2026-07-25 Primera Division 2026
Colo Colo 3:1 Deportes Limache Colo Colo
2026-07-18 Club Friendly Games 2026
Millonarios 0:1 Colo Colo Colo Colo
2026-07-06 Copa Chile 2026, Group E
Colo Colo 2:2 Deportes Recoleta Colo Colo
2026-07-03 Copa Chile 2026, Group E
O'Higgins 4:1 Colo Colo Colo Colo
2026-06-29 Copa Chile 2026, Group E
Union Espanola 0:3 Colo Colo Colo Colo
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyEverton VM - Colo Colo

Everton VM
0 matches total
Colo Colo
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history