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Copa Sudamericana. Round of 32. Second Leg

27.07.2026 21:00 UTC Match prediction

27.07.2026 21:00 UTC

Finished

Copa Sudamericana. Round of 32. Second Leg

Union La Calera - Everton VM

Football

Union La Calera

2 : 1

Finished

Everton VM

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Union La Calera — 40%

Pure model vs market (1 · Union La Calera): model 43% · market 39% Δ +4 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Union La Calera39.6%

X · draw29.1%

2 · Everton VM31.3%

Model estimate: win Union La Calera 39.6%, draw 29.1%, win Everton VM 31.3%. Model favourite — Union La Calera.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Union La Calera (odds2.33) Score 1:0 confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct

• Model backs Union La Kalera: probability 50% vs 43% on the line (odds 2.33)
• edge over the line +7 pp — value pick
• Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Union La Calera - Everton VM July 27, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Union La Calera.

Strongest: Union La Calera - market and Glicko agree

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.37 / X 3.13 / 2 2.94
1X2 market: Union La Calera 39.0% / X 29.5% / Everton VM 31.5%
Glicko: Union La Calera 39.6% / X 29.1% / Everton VM 31.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.2%

1 39.0%

X 29.5%

2 31.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 1 5.30 ↓ 1.01

1X2 X 3.65 ↓ 1.35

1X2 2 1.58 ↑ 6.80

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera División

League table

Union La Calera

#1612 ptsGP 153-3-914:28

DDLLL

Everton VM

#722 ptsGP 156-4-519:15

LWDWW

Best price across 12 books

1 2.60 Unibet

X 3.20 10Bet

2 2.93 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Union La Calera

W-D-L 2-3-5 Scored 1.10 Conceded 1.99 xG 1.08 xGA 1.36 Corners 6.4

Everton VM

W-D-L 4-4-2 Scored 1.30 Conceded 0.90 xG 1.17 xGA 1.30 Corners 5.8

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)

Union La Calera

Rating 1490 xG 1.15 Win 35%

Everton VM

Rating 1527 xG 1.17 Win 36%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Union La Calera 2 : 0 Everton VM

11.77

X3.04

24.81

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center

Start 27.07.2026 21:00 UTC

🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model Union La Calera 40%

💹 Market Union La Calera 3900%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

Match center

Union La Calera - Everton VM

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Union La-Kalera - Everton VdM, 28 iyulya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Chile po futbolu (Primera) 2026, 16 round. Union La-Kalera - Everton VdM, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 1/2 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview

More needed

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 2:1

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 39.6% fact: home hit / ROI 145.0% / Brier 0.547 / LogLoss 0.926

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 39.6% fact: home hit / ROI 145.0% / Brier 0.547 / LogLoss 0.926

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Union La Calera 39.4% 39.6% market and model agree

Draw 29.5% 29.1% draw risk

Everton VM 31.1% 31.3%

xG - 1.15 : 1.17

1X2: 16 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 39.6% / 29.1% / 31.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,581 / 1,597 Union La Calera / Everton VM

RD 182 / 190 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,217-1,945 / 1,218-1,977 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.95 market consensus · no value · model 31.3%

X 1.08 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 2.37 market consensus · no value · model 39.6%

Double chance

12 6.10 Fonbet · weak value +332.4% · model 70.9%

1X 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 68.7%

X2 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 60.4%

Handicap

2 -1 1.05 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 1.88 Fonbet · line only

2 0 1.88 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 7.20 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 6.20 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 1.07 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.12 Fonbet · line only

Yes 5.20 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor
	2.45 40.8%	2.40 41.7%	2.30 43.5%	2.37 42.2%	2.30 43.5%	2.38 42.0%
X	3.20 31.3%	3.10 32.3%	3.25 30.8%	3.25 30.8%	3.00 33.3%	3.20 31.3%
	2.72 36.8%	3.00 33.3%	3.00 33.3%	3.10 32.3%	2.90 34.5%	3.00 33.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	1.12 89.3%	1.87 53.5%
yes	5.20 19.2%	1.87 53.5%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.32 75.8%	1.32 75.8%	6.10 16.4%
1x	1.33 75.2%	1.34 74.6%	1.02 98.0%
x2	1.52 65.8%	1.52 65.8%	1.02 98.0%

Exact Score

Outcome	10Bet
0_0	8.00 12.5%
0_1	7.00 14.3%
0_2	11.00 9.1%
0_3	23.00 4.4%
0_4	61.00 1.6%
1_0	6.50 15.4%
1_1	5.25 19.1%
1_2	8.50 11.8%
1_3	19.00 5.3%
1_4	51.00 2.0%
2_0	10.00 10.0%
2_1	8.00 12.5%
2_2	12.00 8.3%
2_3	26.00 3.9%
2_4	67.00 1.5%
3_0	21.00 4.8%
3_1	17.00 5.9%
3_2	26.00 3.9%

Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 6-2-2, avg 1.5 gls

2026-07-27 · Union La-Kalera 1:1 Everton VM

2026-02-02 · Union La-Kalera 1:0 Everton VM

2025-09-12 · Union La-Kalera 1:0 Everton VM

2025-04-20 · Union La-Kalera 1:1 Everton VM

2025-04-04 · Union La-Kalera 0:2 Everton VM

Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.5 (Winline) · X 3.15 (Winline) · 2 3 (Winline)

Bookmaker	1	X	2
Pari	2.25	3.05	2.95
Winline	2.5	3.15	3
Fonbet	2.25	3.05	2.95
Betcity	2.35	3.1	3
Liga Stavok	2.43	3	2.9

Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

65 Ball possession 35

7 Vsego udarov 17

3 Shots on target 7

2 Shots off target 4

10 Udary ot vorot 3

2 Blokirovannye udary 6

10 Shtrafnye 16

9 Corners 10

2 Offsides 0

22 Auty 21

6 Saves 2

14 Fouls 10

3 Cards total 3

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

0 Second yellows 0

0 Travmy 2

5 Substitutions 5

Source: ruscore

Union La Calera

14.06 17:00 UTC Chile: Liga de Primera Standings

Union La Calera 2:2 Universidad de Chile

0 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

2.0 Scored

2.0 Conceded

1 Points

Everton VM

L W

13.06 17:00 UTC Chile: Liga de Primera Standings

Everton VM 1:2 Palestino

31.05 19:30 UTC Chile: Liga de Primera Standings

Everton VM 3:2 O Khiggins

1 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

2.0 Scored

2.0 Conceded

3 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyUnion La Calera - Everton VM

Union La Calera

0 matches total

Everton VM

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Union La Calera

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Everton VM

15 Games 15

3 Wins 6

3 Draws 4

9 Losses 5

18 Scored 19

28 Conceded 16

12 Points 22

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

0 Shots on goal 0

3.6 Shots on target 4.67

ya 2.47 0.13 Sendoffs 0.27 Goly Nicolas Montiel 0:1 52' Francisco Pozzo Christopher Diaz 1 90+1' Nakazaniya Nicolas Montiel 27' Hugo Magallanes 35' Juan Salomoni 45+2' Nicolas Palma 54' Carlos Villanueva 63' Andres Arroyo 90'

Union La-Kalera Everton VdM 15 Games 15 3 Wins 6 3 Draws 4 9 Losses 5 18 Scored 19 28 Conceded 16 12 Points 22 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 3.6 Udary v stvor 4.67 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 5.53 Uglovye 4.87 1.53 Offsaydy 2.07 9.2 Foly 10.73 50.4 % vladeniya myachom 46.4 2.47 Warnings 2.47 0.13 Sendoffs 0.27 Goly Nicolas Montiel 0:1 52' Francisco Pozzo Christopher Diaz 1 90+1' Nakazaniya Nicolas Montiel 27' Hugo Magallanes 35' Juan Salomoni 45+2' Nicolas Palma 54' Carlos Villanueva 63' Andres Arroyo 90'