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China. League 2
China. League 2
29.07.2026 09:30 UTC Match prediction
29.07.2026 09:30 UTC
Finished

China. League 2

Lanzhou Longyuan - Taian Tiankuang

Football
L
Lanzhou Longyuan
0 : 0
Finished
Taian Tiankuang
Taian Tiankuang
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Taian Tiankuang — 36%

Pure model vs market (2 · Taian Tiankuang): model 36% · market 35% Δ +1 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Lanzhou Longyuan30.9%
X · draw33.4%
2 · Taian Tiankuang35.7%

Model estimate: win Lanzhou Longyuan 30.9%, draw 33.4%, win Taian Tiankuang 35.7%. Model favourite — Taian Tiankuang.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Taian Tiankuang (odds2.61) Score 0:1 Under 1.5 (odds2.10) ✓ Handicap H2 +-0 (odds1.78) confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs Tayan Tyankuan: probability 50% vs 38% on the line (odds 2.61)
  • • edge over the line +12 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 0:1
  • • Total: Under 1.5: model expects a total of ~1 goals
  • • at line 1.5 (odds 2.10)
  • • Handicap F2 +0: score forecast 0:1 (diff -1) covers the line (odds 1.78).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lanzhou Longyuan - Taian Tiankuang July 29, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Taian Tiankuang.

Line favourite Fonbet: Taian Tiankuang. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.80 / X 2.80 / 2 2.65
  • Glicko: Lanzhou Longyuan 30.9% / X 33.4% / Taian Tiankuang 35.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.2%
1 32.7%
X 32.7%
2 34.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Lanzhou Longyuan 1 : 1 Taian Tiankuang
12.97
X2.77
22.47

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 29.07.2026 09:30 UTC
Match center

Lanzhou Longyuan - Taian Tiankuang

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 34.7% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.688 / LogLoss 1.130
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 34.7% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.688 / LogLoss 1.130
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Lanzhou Longyuan 30.5% 30.9%
Draw 33.8% 33.4% draw risk
Taian Tiankuang 35.7% 35.7% market and model agree
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 30.9% / 33.4% / 35.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,542 / 1,635 Lanzhou Longyuan / Taian Tiankuang
RD 179 / 183 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,184-1,899 / 1,269-2,002 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.65 Fonbet · no value · model 35.7%
X 2.80 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.80 Fonbet · no value · model 30.9%
Double chance
12 1.40 Fonbet · no value · model 66.6%
1X 1.43 Fonbet · no value · model 64.3%
X2 1.40 Fonbet · no value · model 69.1%
Handicap
2 0 1.78 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.92 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.90 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.43 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.43 69.9% 1.57 63.7%
yes 2.60 38.5% 2.25 44.4%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.40 71.4%
1x 1.43 69.9%
x2 1.40 71.4%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
4.33 23.1%
X 1.71 58.5%
3.41 29.3%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.70 58.8%
Under 0.5 2.03 49.3%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-2-3, avg 1.8 gls
2026-04-25 · Lanchzhou Lunyuan Atletik 0:0 Tayan Tyankuan
2025-07-02 · Lanchzhou Lunyuan Atletik 1:2 Tayan Tyankuan
2025-04-27 · Lanchzhou Lunyuan Atletik 0:3 Tayan Tyankuan
2024-06-24 · Lanchzhou Lunyuan Atletik 1:1 Tayan Tyankuan
2024-04-10 · Lanchzhou Lunyuan Atletik 0:1 Tayan Tyankuan
Source: ruscore
Lanzhou Longyuan
D D L D
25.07 09:30 UTC China: League Two Standings
Lanzhou Longyuan 2:2 Shanghai SecondShanghai Second
19.07 09:30 UTC China: League Two Standings
Lanzhou Longyuan 0:0 Nantun Khaymen
04.07 09:00 UTC China: League Two Standings
Lanzhou Longyuan 1:3 Shandun Tayshan (B)
13.06 09:30 UTC China: League Two Standings
Lanzhou Longyuan 0:0 Shanxi Chongde RonghaiShanxi Chongde Ronghai
0 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.3 Conceded
3 Points
Taian Tiankuang
W W L D
26.07 06:30 UTC China: League Two Standings
Taian Tiankuang 3:2 Shankhay Port (B)
19.07 09:00 UTC China: League Two Standings
Taian Tiankuang 1:0 Tsindao Red LayonsTsindao Red Layons
05.07 09:00 UTC China: League Two Standings
Taian Tiankuang 0:1 Changchun XiduChangchun Xidu
13.06 06:00 UTC China: League Two Standings
Taian Tiankuang 0:0 Shanghai SecondShanghai Second
2 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
7 Points